Picks of the Week

 

Another week in the black!!!  Not enough to erase the deficit from a couple of weeks ago, but one winning week away from making it a streak.  Let's start that streak this weekend!!!

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Detroit Lions -3 v. Green Bay Packers

Home team on a short week; and the Lions really wanting to prove something given that they eeked out a Thanksgiving Day win against Chicago.

Atlanta Falcons +6 at Minnesota Vikings

Atlanta has lost w in a row, and I do not expect them to end that streak, but Minnesota has played in a lot of one-possession games recently, and the one that wasn't, they only scored 23 against the Titans.  I expect this to be close, with Kirk Cousins and the 5th ranked passing offense keeping Atlanta in the game against the 28th ranked passing defense.

Tennessee Titans -3 1/2 v. Jacksonville Jaguars

I feel like the Jaguars offense played okay under Mac Jones after Trevor Lawrence went out last week, but not sure this Titans defense is where a backup quarterback can thrive.

New Orleans Saints -5 at New York Giants

At 4-8 the Saints are only two games off the NFC South lead; at 2-10 the Giants are staring at Shadeur Sanders or Cam Ward.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6 1/2 v. Las Vegas Raiders

Mike Evans is a go, and besides, the Buccaneers are 6th in passing even having lost Godwin for the year and Evans for a bunch of games.  Plus, the Raiders are playing in the 1:00 window after travelling from the Pacific Time Zone.  The winner of this game should be called the Pittsburgh Pirates for the next year.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers -6 1/2 v. Cleveland Browns

Cleveland defeated the Steelers in Cleveland just two weeks ago; and they took the Broncos to the brink on Monday night.  But that is the problem - it was Monday, meaning they are on a short week.  I think Pittsburgh remembers that loss and will want to avenge it.

Carolina Panthers +14 at Philadelphia Eagles

Yes, the Eagles are way better than the Panthers, but in Carolina's last 4 games they have won 2 and lost by 3 and 3 in the other two.  This spread looks a bit high.

Miami Dolphins -6 v. New York Jets

Miami has to win out for the opportunity to make the playoffs, and in the span of their last 5 games, they have the Jets, Texans, 49ers, Browns, and Jets.  Don't know how all 5 of the games are going to go, but this week New York is without Breece Hall and Sauce Gardner, so it should start off well for Miami.

Chicago Bears +3 1/2 at San Francisco 49ers

New interim head coach Thomas Brown takes over for deposed Matt Eberflus, but what hasn't changed is that the Bears have covered against the Packers, Vikings, and Lions in consecutive weeks.

Seattle Seahawks +2 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals

Seattle can add to its one-game lead in the west over the Cardinals (and the Rams).  This game seems really close on paper, and when it is close - I take the points.

Los Angeles Rams +3 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills

This pick is just a hunch, as I think Buffalo might suffer from a bit of a letdown after clinching the AFC East last week.

Los Angeles Chargers +4 at Kansas City Chiefs

Despite their 11-1 record, Kansas City has not really blown anyone away.  The spreads in the last few games:  W2, W3, L9, W2, W6, W7.  If they win this game, this trend will continue; and a good chance exists that they may not even win this game.

Dallas Cowboys +5 1/2 v. Cincinnati Bengals

I expect a shootout Monday night as Cincinnati is the #1 ranked passing team in the NFL, and surprisingly, Dallas is 7th.  Cincinnati's pass defense is 27th whereas Dallas's is a respecatble 13th.  What does this all mean?  A passing shootout.  Dallas may not win, but this game should be fun and close.

Big Bet:

Chicago Bears +3 1/2 at San Francisco 49ers

New interim head coach Thomas Brown takes over for deposed Matt Eberflus, but what hasn't changed is that the Bears have covered against the Packers, Vikings, and Lions in consecutive weeks.

I am going with the fired coach effect here.  The Bears were close in many games before Eberflus was fired; and they might just win this one outright.

Record

Last Week's Record:  8-8

Last Week's Big Bet:  1-0

Year-to-Date Record:  93-95-7

Big Bet Year-to-Date: 8-5

Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $400

Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): ($775)

Picks of the Week

HOORAY!!!  THE NFL is back.  And for what it's worth, it starts with what is expected to be a humdinger of a game as the defending Super Bowl Champions, the Kansas City Chiefs, host the Baltimore Ravens in a rematch of last year's AFC title game.  So, not only is this game important for bragging rights among the NFL's elite, but could also be important for home-field advantage in the playoffs.  Love the NFL, and I am so happyit is back!  Let's get to the games ...

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Baltimore Ravens +3 at Kansas City Chiefs

No short week, since this is week 1, so the home team rule doesn't apply.  Plus, there is usually a bit of  a Super Bowl hangover, especially when the quarterback doesn't really yet know his new receivers, plus a rookie left tackle.  And, the best way to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs is to control the ball and win the time of possession.  Enter Derrick Henry.

Philadelphia Eagles - 2 1/2 v. Green Bay Packers (in Sao Paulo, Brazil)

The NFL's first game in Brazil, and it's on a Friday.  Excitement, excitement.  Plus, the soccer team that generally plays its home games in the stadium in which this game will be played has a rival which primarily wears green.  Yeah, this is going to be great.  Adding Saquon Barkley - if truly healthy - to this Eagles offense makes them super scary.  They win big.

Chicago Bears -3 1/2 v. Tennessee Titans

New quarterback in Caleb Williams, along with a revamped offense which sees DeAndre Swift, Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze joining D.J. Moore as offensive weapons makes this team incredibly hopeful for a playoff run, similar to the Texans of last season.  To do that, they have to win at home against a Titans team that lost Derrick Henry, and might just be drifting listlessly in mediocrity.

Atlanta Falcons -3 1/2 v. Pittsburgh Steelers

A new head coach that might actually use Bijan Robinson against a defense that despite T.J. Watt's numbers was actually pretty poor last year?  Yes, please.  Sprinkle in a little "Noon Nightmare" now starting at quarterback for Atlanta in Kirk Cousins.

Minnesota Vikings -1 1/2 at New York Giants

I hate road favorites, but this line is too small too worry about that.  I might be the only one that thinks Sam Darnold showed that he is an actual NFL quarterback in Carolina for a bit (not a star mind you, but serviceable), and sometimes all you need to be is serviceable with Justin Jefferson on the end of your passes.  I think the Giants could be one of the worst teams in the league this year, and this game could show whether that is true or no.

Jacksonville Jaguars + 3 1/2 at Miami Dolphins

I think this game could be really close, so I am taking the points.  Both teams have a lot of offensive firepower, and some studs on defense.  The Dolphins secondary with Jalen Ramsey, Kendell Fuller, Jordan Poyer and Jevon Holland are among the best, if not the best, in the NFL.  The newly glossed Josh Hines-Allen IS one of the best defenders in the NFL for Jacksonville.

Cincinnati Bengals -8 1/2 v. New England Patriots

There is absolutely no reason to watch this game unless you have money on it or play fantasy.  Cincinnati should roll.  Do not let J'Marr Chase's practice holdout worry you.  He can go!

Buffalo Bills -6 1/2 v. Arizona Cardinals

West coast team traveling east and playing in the 1:00 time zones fail to cover 2/3rds of the time.  And yes, Arizona is only in the Mountain Time Zone, except they do not use Daylight Savings Time, so they are 3 hours behind.  I am interested in watching both rookie wide receivers:  Marvin Harrison, Jr. for Arizona and Keon Coleman for Buffalo.

Houston Texans -3 at Indianapolis Colts

Week 1 and I am already breaking a traditional NFL gambling rule - don't bet a road favorite in an intradivisional game.  However, I am doing this BECAUSE it is week 1, and that is where we can most take advantage of undervalue (or overvalued lines).  Houston added Danielle Hunter to an already potent defensive line, which could make Anthony Richardson rush throws - and we already know from college he can be incredibly inaccurate.  Plus, it is week 1, which makes it waaaaay too early for Stefon Diggs to start ruining a team's season.  That usually starts around week 11.

Carolina Panthers +4 at New Orleans Saints

This bet is not so much aboute Carolina improving - although they should (I mean, they HAVE to, right?) - as much as I do not think New Orleans is going to be good at all.  I mean, they have like only 6 or 7 players that any other team might want.  I feel I would take the points in this game, no matter which team was receiving them.

Los Angeles Chargers -3 v. Las Vegas Raiders

I really have no idea what this year has in store for either of these teams.  Just taking the home team, really, because Justin Herbert has to be better than Gardner Minshew, right?

Seattle Seahawks -6 v. Denver Broncos

There are a lot of people high on the Denver Broncos, especially given Bo Nix's preseason.  Most of those people are intrigued by his fantasy numbers, and not necessarily the actual football games.  I will wait for a few games unitl I consider myself impressed yet.  For now, I'll just say that Patrick Surtain II cannot cover DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, AND Jaxson Smith-Njigba.  Denver is going to have to improve a defense that gave up a million yards and 1,300 points to the Bears and Dolphins last year (please not hyperbole).

Washington Commanders +3 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Another hyped rookie quarterback, Jayden Daniels, takes the helm for the Commanders.  Washington played a ton of close games last year, while throwing more pass attempts than any team in the league.  Daniels can make things happen with his legs should a pass attempt break down, and he is incredibly accurate.  Like all rookie quarterbacks, he will have some setbacks, but I think he keeps this game close, at least.

Dallas Cowboys + 3 1/2 at Cleveland Browns

Forget playoff failures, this Cowboys team does have talent; and certainly enough talent to win this game outright, so I'll take points.

Detroit Lions -4 1/2 v. Los Angeles Rams

This Detroit Lions team seems poised to make a jump to Super Bowl contender this year, and has a lot of talent on both sides of the ball.  The Rams have some star skill position players in Kyren Williams, Cooper Kupp, and Puka Nacua, and the venerable Matthew Stafford throwing to them, and they are going to need to score as many points as they can given their (lack of) defensive makeup.  Aaron Donald, in the conversation as the greatest DT ever, retired, and it is going to be hard to find a replacement for that push up the middle.

San Francisco 49ers -4 1/2 v. New York Jets

Until we see otherwise, San Francisco is a definitive pick most weeks.  The Jets defense can be outstanding, and Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson are potential stars on the offensive side of the ball.  Can Aaron Rodgers stay on the field for more than a quarter AND keep his mouth shut?  We shall see.

Big Bet:

Chicago Bears -3 1/2 v. Tennessee Titans

New quarterback in Caleb Williams, along with a revamped offense which sees DeAndre Swift, Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze joining D.J. Moore as offensive weapons makes this team incredibly hopeful for a playoff run, similar to the Texans of last season.  To do that, they have to win at home against a Titans team that lost Derrick Henry, and might just be drifting listlessly in mediocrity.

I am all in on this team for this game:  Home game hype, #1 overall draft pick QB hype, tons of offensive weapons, and a team defense that was the best in the NFL once Head Coach Matt Eberflus took over play-calling in the middle of the season and Montez Sweat came over from the Commanders in a mid-season trade.  If Sweat can get any modicum of pressure from the other side of the line via DeMarcus Walker or rookie fifth-round pick Austin Booker, opposing offenses will have to look out all season.

As this is week 1, I present to you last season's final tally.

Last Year's Recap

Year-to-Date Record:  169-128-14

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  11-13
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $200.50

Playoffs' Winnings (Losses):  $1,355.50

Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): $2,450.50

Record

Last Week's Record:  0-0

Last Week's Big Bet:  0-0

Year-to-Date Record:  0-0

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  0-0

Last Week's Winnings (Losses): 

Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): 

Picks of the Week

 

Another approximately .500 week, but capped off by a big bet loss, mostly because of a fluke ending quarter for the Bears, but that is a game that should have ended differently - the crazy lament of the gambler.  In Boston today, so all I hear is Patriots, Patriots, Patriots.  I super hope that all of this doesn't subliminally affect any AFC East picks.  Lets see ...

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks...

Green Bay Packers -3 1/2 v. Tennessee Titans

Home team on a short week.  Glad the Packers lost, hate it for my picks.

Chicago Bears +3 at Atlanta Falcons

So the Bears defense has been significantly underperforming the offense this year (who would have ever thought that).  But that being said, Atlanta's offense is the 26th ranked in the league.  Both teams are great offensively on third down (7th and 8th), and horrible on third down defense (31st and 29th).  This is a recipe for a close game so I will take the points.

Indianapolis Colts +6 1/2 v. Philadelphia Eagles

I really don't like this pick, but I am trying not to overthink it.  Philadelphia is on a short week, having played a tough game on Monday night.  Indianapolis has the 4th ranked defense, so they could keep this close, even if Philadelphia wins.

 

New Orleans Saints -2 1/2 v. Los Angeles Rams

Pacific time zone team only traveling to the central time zone, not eastern, but they bring with them the worst total offense in the NFL and the worst rushing offense in the NFL.   Defense is still stout (4th in rushing, 4th overall), but this is much more than just a Super Bowl hangover.

Houston Texans +3 v. Washington Commanders

I also don't like this pick, but the Commanders are coming off a hugely emotional win on Monday night, and the combination of a letdown and a short week means Washington wins 21-20.

New York Jets +3 1/2 at New England Patriots

Bill Belichick blah, blah, blah, can't be outcoached in a big game, blah, blah, blah, no way the Jets can take over 1st place in the AFC East, blah, blah, blah.  New England has the 27th ranked offense, and the Jets have the 6th best total defense (9th in passing, 11th in rushing).  Jets with points, yes please!

Detroit Lions +3 at New York Giants

Are the Giants the better team?  Yes.  Are the Giants playing at home?  Also yes.  But, Detroit has the 7th best total offense, which is balanced between passing (8th) and rushing (10th).  Detroit also has the worst defens in the NFL, both total and scoring, but the Giants are only 22nd in scoring.  This means a big game for Saquon Barkley that results in a 30-28 victory.

Carolina Panthers +13 1/2 at Baltimore Ravens

Two touchdowns is a lot of points.  This will probably happen then, since I have been generally bullish on the double digit underdogs to little avail.  I am hoping that Baltimore welcoming back Gus Edwards keeps them just rusty enough to not cover, and Baker Mayfield is just feisty/angry enough to keep this close-ish.

Cleveland Browns +8 at Buffalo Bills

I seem to be a big fan of the underdogs today, and that train continues rolling as the Bills have two consecutive losses, and two relatively close games prior.  I'll take Nick Chubb and the points.

Denver Broncos -2 1/2 v. Las Vegas Raiders

Derek Carr's emotion during last week's press conference could galvanize the team, but it is more likely that the Raiders find it difficult to score against the best scoring defense, and number 2 total defense in the NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals -3 1/2 at Pittsburgh Steelers

Cincinnati appears to have figured out their offense sans J'Marr Chase.  They will need Burrow to keep up his 102.6 passer rating in order to avenge their early-season loss to the Steelers.

Dallas Cowboys +1 1/2 at Minnesota Vikings

This game is in the 4 p.m. time slot, which means that Kirk Cousins will probably underperform.  Seriously, the Noon Nightmare (the 1:00 eastern time slot starts at noon in Minneapolis) is a much better quarterback during the early games.  Yes, his failings ordinarily occur during prime time games, but that must mean he plays progressively worse throughout the day.

Kansas City Chiefs -5 1/2 at Los Angeles Chargers

A healthy Keenan Allen makes this Chargers offense immensely better, however, we don't necessarily know if Keenan Allen is going to be fully healthy yet.

San Francisco 49ers -8 at Arizona Cardinals

Colt McCoy.

Byes:  Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Big Bet:

Chicago Bears +3 at Atlanta Falcons

So the Bears defense has been significantly underperforming the offense this year (who would have ever thought that).  But that being said, Atlanta's offense is the 26th ranked in the league.  Both teams are great offensively on third down (7th and 8th), and horrible on third down defense (31st and 29th).  This is a recipe for a close game so I will take the points.

I am going to the well for a second straight week, as I think the Bears getting points are much more dangerous than when the gave points to Detroit.  My other thoughts were the Jets, but I didn't want to bet against Belichick; Denver, except they have been so erratic offensively, and the Bye against the Jaguars, but nobody would take that bet.

Last Week's Record:  7-7

Last Week's Big Bet:  0-1

Year-to-Date Record:  72-72-4

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  5-4-1

Last Week's Winnings (Losses):  ($235)

Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses):  ($850)

Picks of the Week

 

A bad week, which although just under .500 was capped with a big bet loss, that I knew was a bad pick.  I even mentioned during the pick.  Oh well, perhaps that will count as a good sacrifice to the gambling gods which could help with this week.  Another unpopular Thursday night pick,  which became a home-team/short-week victory for me.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks...

Carolina Panthers +2 1/2 v. Atlanta Falcons

Home team on a short week.  Worked out, AGAIN!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 v. Seattle Seahawks

Seattle has been better this year, but it is a heckuva long way to travel from Seattle to Germany, and is it possible that Brady's game-winning drive turns the season around for the Buccaneers?  At the very lease, I feel like Brady is starting to really trust Otten.

Chicago Bears -3 v. Detroit Lions

I believe we have witnessed the ascension of Justin Fields!

Denver Broncos +2 1/2 at Tennessee Titans

I am not sure that Tennessee can score enough points. Sure, Derrick Henry is having another stellar year, but Tennessee is 26th in total defense and last in total offense.

Miami Dolphins -3 1/2 v. Cleveland Browns

Believe it or not, but Cleveland has a better offense (4th) than Miami (5th), and a better defense (14th) than Miami (23rd), but Miami's team is way more explosive, and those total offense numbers are hindered by Tua being out a couple of games.  Miami covers at home.

New Orleans Saints -1 1/2 at Pittsburgh Steelers

Alvin Kamara is the difference-maker in this game, although it does look like T.J. Watt will be back.  New Orleans is just better offensively (6th v. 28th) and defensively (11th v. 29th).  I don't like that New Orleans is on a short week.

Minnesota Vikings +3 1/2 at Buffalo Bills

Case Keenum is a professional quarterback, and likely could be starting somewhere, but he is no Josh Allen.

New York Giants -4 1/2 v. Houston Texans

Giants coming off a bye, and even though Dameon Pierce is having a great season, he cannot do it alone, which it seems like he is being asked to do.

Kansas City Chiefs -9 1/2 v. Jacksonville Jaguars

How did Patrick Mahomes throw for 446 yards last week and Kansas City only score 20 points?  That will not happen this week.

Las Vegas Raiders -4 1/2 v. Indianapolis Colts

Jeff Saturday has an inauspicious start, bascially because of a rookie quarterback, Sam Ehlinger.

Dallas Cowboys -4 at Green Bay Packers

Green Bay continues their tumultuous fall, making the Pittsburgh Steelers question not taking Green Bay's second-round pick for Chase Claypool because they thought Chicago's would be a better pick.

Los Angeles Rams -3 v. Arizona Cardinals

And we thought this would be an important game when the season started.

San Francisco 49ers -7 v. Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers offense has performed admirably without Keenan Allen(4th in passing), but they really need Allen against the number 1 defense in the NFL.  Plus, San Francisco gets Deebo Samuel back.

Washington Commanders +11 at Philadelphia Eagles

Double digit is way to much for an intradivisional battle.  Philadelphia wins 30-20.

Byes:  Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, New England Patriots, New York Jets

Big Bet:

Chicago Bears -3 v. Detroit Lions

I believe we have witnessed the ascension of Justin Fields!

No, I am not reading too much into last week, as the offense was spectacular against a tough Dallas defense the prior week.  Detroit's defense is last in the NFL in total defense, scoring defense, abd 3rd down defense, 31st in rushing defense and 29th in passing defense.  Chicago is 1st in rushing in the NFL, and 9th in third-down conversions.  Fields keeps several drives alive with big third-down plays.

Last Week's Record:  6-7

Last Week's Big Bet:  0-1

Year-to-Date Record:  65-65-4

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  5-3-1

Last Week's Winnings (Losses):  ($335)

Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses):  ($615)

Bearing Down on the Draft

Now that the Newness of the 2022 NFL Draft has waned, and the 11 new draftees (plus 16 UDFAs, plus upwards of 40+ camp invitees) have started rookie camp, I decided that it was time to unique reflect on my favorite team's draft.  Instead of just analyzing the draft day selections and trades that gave the Bears 11 picks, instead of the 6 they possessed entering the draft, I am going to choose, in order, my favorite Bears' first-round picks since I have been alive.  This is not my ranking of the best players, although being a great player enhances your chances of finishing high in this list, just my favorite picks.  For the most part, I will offer no analysis, but I might in certain circumstances.

For a time frame, I was born in 1973, however I was born after the draft that year, so this covers only those first round picks from 1974 through last week.  Given that in some years the Bears had 2 first round picks, there are 54 total picks to rank.  Here we go, in ascending order ...

54.  2018 - None (Involved in the Mitchell Trubisky trade, See number 53)

53.  2017 - Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina - So, I think he is a lot better than some players on this list, but as a draft pick?!  C'MON MAN!  DeShaun Watson was the pick!

52.  2015 - Kevin White, WR, West Virginia

51.  2012 - Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, Boise State - He is only as high as he is because of the Aaron Rodgers play.

50.  1998 - Curtis Enis, RB, Penn State - So, Curtis Enis is this low not because he ended up being a horrible player (his career was shortened by knee injuries), but because the Bears already had Raymont Harris and Rashaan Salaam on the roster.  Not great, but way better than a receiving corps consisting of Curtis Conway and Bobby Engram and Ricky Proehl.  Why do I mention wide receivers?  Because Randy Moss was available at this pick!!!  I was actually working at my bar (I didn't own it, but I OWNED it), during the draft, and I disavowed my allegiance to the Bears because of this pick.  Yes, I know, short lived, but still.

49.  2002 - Marc Columbo, T, Boston College - Columbo was a decent player, but this pick was bad because the Bears held onto this pick rather than sending it to the New England Patriots for Drew Bledsoe, who could have led them for a couple of years until the Bears found their permanent QB (which I hope is Justin Fields.

48.  2003 - Michael Haynes, DE, Penn State

47.  2011 - Gabe Carimi, T, Wisconsin

46.  1974 - Dave Gallagher, DT, Michigan

45.  1974 - Waymond Bryant, LB, Tennessee State

44.  2005 - Cedric Benson, RB, Texas - He cried on stage because his dream of being drafted had been fulfilled.  Now, ordinarily I don't care if someone is emotional at an appropriate moment, but Benson knew he was going to not only be drafted, but land somewhere in the top 6 or 8 since the season ended.

43.  1977 - Ted Albrecht, T, California

42.  1976 - Dennis Lick, T, Wisconsin

41.  2008 - Chris Williams, T, Vanderbilt

40.  1999 - Cade McNown, QB, UCLA

39.  1994 - John Thierry, DE, Alcorn State 

38.  1988 - Brad Muster, FB, Stanford

37.  2010 - None

36.  2009 - None

35.  2006 - None

34.  1997 - None

33.  1978 - None

32.  2003 - Rex Grossman, QB, Florida

31.  2001 - David Terrell, WR, Michigan

30.  1988 - Wendell Davis, WR, LSU

29.  1991 - Stan Thomas, T, Texas

28.  2020 - None (Khalil Mack Trade, 2nd number 1 traded)

27.  1995 - Rashaan Salaam, RB, Colorado

26.  1987 - Jim Harbaugh, QB, Michigan

25.  1979 - Al Harris, DE, Arizona State

24.  1992 - Alonzo Spellman, DE, Ohio State

23.  2013 - Kyle Long, G, Oregon

22.  1996 - Walt Harris, CB, Mississippi State

21.  1985 - William Perry, DT, Clemson

20.  2016 - Leonard Floyd, LB, Georgia - I LOVED this pick at the time.  Didn't really fulfill his potential in Chicago, but has been better since he left.

19.  1986 - Neal Anderson, RB, Florida

18.  1993 - Curtis Conway, WR, USC

17.  2022 - None (Fields Trade)

16.  2014 - Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech

15.  1989 - Donnell Woolford, CB, Clemson

14.  2004 - Tommie Harris, DT, Oklahoma - His 2004 highlight tape shown after his selection at the draft was AMAZING!

13.  1983 - Willie Gault, WR, Tennessee

12.  1980 - Otis Wilson, LB, Louisville

11.  1990 - Mark Carrier, S, USC

10.  1979 - Dan Hampton, DT, Arkansas

9.  1981 - Keith Van Horne, T, USC

8.  2007 - Greg Olsen, TE, Miami - I am a huge Miami Hurricanes fan!!!  G-REG!!!

7.  2000 - Brian Urlacher, LB, New Mexico

6.  2019 - None (Khalil Mack Trade)

5.  1982 - Jim McMahon, QB, Brigham Young

4.  1983 - Jim Covert, T, Pittsburgh - Covert was selected in the great QB draft of 1983 (John Elway [1st - Baltimore Colts], Todd Blackledge [7th - Kansas City Chiefs], Jim Kelly [14th - Buffalo Bills], Tony Eason [15th - New England Patriots], Ken O'Brien [24th - New York Jets], and Dan Marino [27th - Miami Dolphins]).  The Bears were not in the QB market having just selected Jim McMahon in the first round the previous year, but, as in all NFL drafts, they had to do their due diligence on all the QBs.  After watching tape of Dan Marino, head coach Mike Ditka noted that between his quick release and great offensive line Dan Marino never got sacked.  Ditka asked his scouts if any of the linemen were available in the draft.  When told that the left tackle was a senior and highly rated, Ditka reportedly said, "Great!  Let's get him!"

3.  1984 - Wilber Marshall, LB, Florida

2.  2021 - Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State - Hopefully he can be great.  Ranked this high on potential, and on the fact that this was the first time since McMahon that the Bears truly addressed their need at QB by trading up to draft Fields.

1.  1975 - Walter Payton, RB - Jackson State - OF COURSE!

  

What a week.  The NFL schedule week 12 literally took an entire week, starting with the Houston Texans defeat of the Detroit Lions on the traditional Thanksgiving Thursday game, and ending with a thrice re-scheduled and finally played on Wednesday Pittsburgh Steelers win over the Baltimore Ravens, which featured Trace McSorley.  And really, Colin Kaepernick can't play in this NFL?  C'mon.  But, despite the length of the week, it was a fantastic bounce back game for your boy, going 11-5 and nailing my big bet.  So, I will take it and hopefully put together a winning-week streak.

As always, any late breaking Covid cancellations will not count, and if some games are moved to Monday or Tuesday, I suppose I will revise as necessary, depending upon who is out with the Covid.  I feel like right now we know a lot of things, but given the craziness of the week, I suppose more could happen.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereasv, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Chicago Bears -3 v. Detroit Lions

Yes, the Green Bay Packers hammered the Bears last week, but hear me out.  This was the first game Bill Lazor called the plays with Mitchell Trubisky playing quarterback, and they actually moved the ball.  One horrendous interception in the end zone and one missed face mask on a Trubisky fumble, and the game ends up a lot closer.  I only mention this because the Lions defense is atrocious - 25th in the league in 3rd percentage, 26th in passing defense, 28th in rushing defense, 29th in total defense, and 31st in scoring defense.  Lazor is going to have the Bears moving the ball up and down the field this week, giving Bears fans hope, which Trubisky will take away 2 to 3 weeks later.

Atlanta Falcons +3 v. New Orleans Saints

This Atlanta team might be the best 4-7 team ever, and if they had some coaching and a bit more savvy and clock management on the field would be 7-4.  I'll take points at home in an intradivisional game.  They key is which team's strength wins out - Atlanta's passing offense, or New Orleans' tough passing defense.

Houston Texans +3 v. Indianapolis Colts

For much the same reason as above, I will take the points at home in an intradivisional game.  This is a tough game to figure out as the Texans lose Will Fuller to a suspension for use of performance enhancing drugs, but they gain David Johnson back after 3 weeks on the injured reserve.  All of this may not mean much against Indy's defense (4th in total defense, 6th in passing defense, 7th in rushing defense and 9th in scoring defense).  But, I'll bet that you didn't realize DeShaun Watson has a 112.5 quarterback rating this year, did you?  That puts him third in the NFL behind only Aaron Rodgers 115.5 and Patrick Mahomes (115.5).

New York Jets +8 v. Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders are a west coast team travelling east and playing in the 1:00 time slot, and the Raiders are playing without Josh Jacobs.  With Jacobs the Raiders have the 8th best rushing offense in the NFL.  Without him, who knows, but the Jets do have the 11th best rushing defense.

Cleveland Browns +4 1/2 at Tennessee Titans

This game is likely to be the first game completed on Sunday, as we should expect a lot - and I mean a lot - of running plays.  Cleveland, behind Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, have the best rushing offense in the NFL whereas Tenneesse - behind Derrick Henry - is no slouch itself; second in the NFL in rushing offense.  The difference is that Cleveland is 9th in rushing defense while Tennessee is 17th.  Honestly, I pick the other way if this is a 2 1/2 or 3 point spread, but with 4 1/2, I'll take those points in a game in which possessions are likely to be limited due to a running clock because of the ground game.

Miami Dolphins -10 1/2 v. Cincinnati Bengals

I am honestly torn on this one, having gone back-and-forth between Miami and Cincinnati before finally settling on Miami.  Cincinnati played the New York Giants close last week, behind a subpar game from Brandon Allen (really what did we expect), but, it was the Giants and Colt McCoy made an appearance.  So basically, they are not good.  I am making this pick based upon Ryan Fitzpatrick starting over Tuanigamanuolepola Tagavailoa, which still really hasn't been officially announced yet, but Fitzpatrick would love to feast on the 22nd ranked pass defense in Cincinnati.

Jacksonville Jaguars +10 at Minnesota Vikings

Mike Glennon is starting for Jacksonville, but he did last week and the Jaguars only lost to Cleveland by 2.  Like Cleveland, Minnesota relies heavily upon its rushing game (6th in rushing offense; 17th in passing offense).  Plus, Minnesota has not looked good lately.

Los Angeles Rams -3 at Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals are coming off two straight losses on the road (to the Seahawks and Patriots), and will have to fight to end that streak at home against the Rams and their stout defense (4th in 3rd down % and rushing defense, 3rd in passing defense and scoring defense, and 2nd in total defense).  Kenyan Drake has not been playing well since his return from injury making me wonder when the Cardinals will go back to Chase Edmonds.

  

Seattle Seahawks -11 v. New York Giants

Colt McCoy.  I don't think that even Seattle's short week can make up for the fact that Colt McCoy is playing.

Green Bay Packers -8 1/2 v. Philadelphia Eagles

Aaron Rodgers, as mentioned before, has the best QB rating in the NFL this year.  And although the Giants have a pretty good defense, they are vulnerable against the pass (19th in the NFL).  And, Philadelphia is floundering despite being only 1/2 game out of first place in the NFC East.  Plus, Philadelphis is on a short week.

New England Patriots +2 at  Los Angeles Chargers

The Patriots have won 3 of their last 4 games, their only loss being by 1 touchdown at Houston.  New England is 5th in rushing offense and the Chargers are 18th in rushing defense.  Los Angeles is 2nd in passing offense, so we could see some explosive plays, but New England is playing about as good as this version of the Patriots can.

Denver Broncos +13 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs

So, before anybody gets carried away, the Chiefs are going to win this game, but 2 TDs is just too much.  But, Kansas City has only won its last 3 games by a combined total of 9 points, and that was to Carolina, Las Vegas, and Tampa Bay.  All good teams, certainly, but not the upper echelon of the league.  So, with some quarterbacks back this week for the Broncos, and being an intra-divisional game, I expect this one to be close-ish.  Kansas City by 10 wouldn't shock me.

Washington Football Team +7 at Pittsburgh Steelers

An incredibly short week for the Steelers, having played on Wednesday afternoon and now having this game moved from Sunday to Monday afternoon at 5:00.  At least they were home on Wednesday, and on this Monday.  The game against the Ravens was a tough, physical battle, as this one is likely to be as well.  The Steelers will be tested by Washington's defense, ranked 7th in scoring, 6th in total defense and 2nd in passing defense.  The Steelers very well may pull out a victory, but 7 seems high under the circumstances.

Buffalo Bills +1 at San Francisco 49ers

I cannot figure out these San Francisco 49ers, and if you say you have, you are a liar.  So, to be fair, I have no idea what is going to happen in the traditional Monday Night game.  But San Francisco's passing defense is 4th in the NFL (5th in total defense), and Buffalo's passing offense is 7th in the NFL (21st in rushing), so it'll be interesting if the 49ers can contain Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs and company.  I think not, for no real particular reason.

Dallas Cowboys No Line at Baltimore Ravens

No line pending the Covid-19 situation surrounding Lamar Jackson.  Mark Ingram II, Calais Campbell and others came off the Covid-19 list today.  The announcement on Jackson is expected to be made Monday.  I will make a pick once the line is set.

Bye Week - Carolina Panthers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Big Bet

Chicago Bears -3 v. Detroit Lions

Yes, the Green Bay Packers hammered the Bears last week, but hear me out.  This was the first game Bill Lazor called the plays with Mitchell Trubisky playing quarterback, and they actually moved the ball.  One horrendous interception in the end zone and one missed face mask on a Trubisky fumble, and the game ends up a lot closer.  I only mention this because the Lions defense is atrocious - 25th in the league in 3rd percentage, 26th in passing defense, 28th in rushing defense, 29th in total defense, and 31st in scoring defense.  Lazor is going to have the Bears moving the ball up and down the field this week, giving Bears fans hope, which Trubisky will take away 2 to 3 weeks later.

Honestly, I hate making my Big Bet a Chicago Bears game, but I honestly feel like I saw something with the playcalling last week.  Not something like go far in the playoffs, but something that should be able to move the ball well against Detroit, with Allen Robinson getting like 10 catches, 143 yards type of movement.  And, I like some of the other lines, but I don't love them.  Atlanta and Green Bay I considered here, with Atlanta getting points at home a serious consideration, but I will stick with my original thought here.

Last Week's Record:  11-5

Last Week's Big Bet:  1-0
Year-to-Date Record:  95-78-4
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  8-4
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $700
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses): $1460

Picks of the Week

After a great weekend of college football, today's NFL lineup better be outstanding.  I know one thing, it gives us Jeff Driskel, which I note because I am in Gainesville right now, went to the University of Florida.  Why do I note this? Because there are three "starting" quarterbacks in the NFL from UF - Cam Newton and Jacoby Brissett are not starting because of injury and Jeff Driskel is starting because of an injury.  What do they have in common?  They all transferred out!

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Los Angeles Chargers -1 1/2 at Oakland Raiders
I broke all kinds of rules here:  Road intra-divisional favorite, away team on short week, and putting too much faith in one game (Chargers over Packers las week).  In short, I am an idiot.

Chicago Bears -4 1/2 v. Detroit Lions
Jeff Driskel.

Baltimore Ravens -10 1/2 at Cincinnati Bengals
So I am breaking a couple of rules here by selecting a double digit favorite and an intra-divisional road favorite, but it is Ryan Linley's first start ever, Joe Mixon has had 4 games of 20 yards rushing or less, and Lamar Jackson is Lamar Jackson.  Plus, double digit favorites have faired fairly well this year.

Buffalo Bills +2 1/2 at Cleveland Browns
Buffalo's defense has shown that they can keep games tight, so on that basis, I am going to take the points in Cleveland.

New Orleans Saints -10 1/2 v. Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is horrid and New Orleans is not.

New York Giants -3 at New York Jets
I just hope that this game is nowhere near any television in which I am facing.

Arizona Cardinals +4 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With two horrendous defenses (Arizona 30th and Tampa Bay 23rd) this is going to be a fantasy football lover's dream.  Kyler Murray can play, so I will take the points on the road,

Kansas City Chiefs -6 1/2 at Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is such a Jekyll and Hyde team that I absolutely hate to give up this many points.  Who am I kidding?  I will take this one in a heartbeat.

Miami Dolphis +10 1/2 at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are the much better team, but this Dolphins squad is playing their collective hearts out for Brian Flores.  He just might be the real deal as a coach.  Plus, Jacoby Brissett is injured and being replaced by Brian Hoyer.  I will take the double digit points.

Green Bay Packers -5 1/5 v. Carolina Panthers
Kyle Allen has been OK as a starter, the team has just rallied around him.  Green Bay is better overall (except for Christian McCaffrey), and I feel the Packers are ripe for a big home win.

Pittsburgh Steeler +4 v. Los Angeles Rams
This is honestly just a hunch.  I don't think the Rams are ready for the cold snap in which they will be playing.  The pass rush of the Steelers is the difference.

Dallas Cowboys -3 v. Minnesota Vikings
This isn't the indictment of Kirk Cousins that everyone else is portraying this game.  This is more of a "Minnesota is much more dangerous when they have both of their receivers" pick.  Dallas can roll coverage against Stefon Diggs and turn this into a make other receivers have to step up.  I think Dallas wins that battle.

Seattle Seahawks +6 1/2 at San Francisco 49ers
This is a statement game for both squads.  Seattle can win this game, and since I honestly believe that, I am going to take the almost touchdown.

Byes:  Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Racists

Big Bet
Chicago Bears -4 1/2 v. Detroit Lions
Jeff Driskel.
I like living dangerously, and as stated earlier, can root against Jeff Driskel in Gainesville.

Last Two Weeks' Record:  16-14
Last Two Weeks' Big Bet:  1-1
Year-to-Date Record:  65-71
Year-to-Date Big Bet:  5-4
Last Two Weeks' Winnings (Losses):  $35
Year-to-Date Winnings (Losses):  ($1,230)

Picks of the Week

Not a bad start to the season.  The missed Chargers field goal would have made for an excellent way to end the week, but alas, no comlplaints.

My long time readers know how this works, but for everybody else,  a reminder.  Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will "pretend" that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Cincinnati Bengals -5 1/2 v. Houston Texans
Not a great start to the week, but the visiting team on a short week for the Thursday games have a horrible record, plus a first start for a rookie, albeit talented, quarterback.  It was a really bad game, and Cincinnati really outplayed Houston, except for one play, and one drive.  Good start for Watson.

Chicago Bears +7 at Tampa Bay Buccanneers
Chicago played really tough, especially defensively, against an Atlanta team that lead the NFL in scoring last year.  Tampa Bay will be playing its first game after Hurricane Irma postponed week 1.  Tampa is everyone's favorite non-playoff team to make the playoffs this year, but I am not sure they will win by more than a touchdown.

Cleveland Browns +7 1/2 at Baltimore Ravens
For the past few years, I have not been able to figure out the Baltimore Ravens, and last week was no exception.  I do know that Cleveland played the Pittsburgh Steelers, a team many think could usurp the New England Patriots in the AFC, tough.  DeShone Kizer looks like he belongs in this league.

Carolina Panthers -6 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills
The Panthers thoroughly manhandled the San Francisco 49ers, but I suspect I will be writing some version of this sentence a lot this year.  Buffalo defeated an equally horrendous New York Jets team, but that game was closer than it should have been.  I'll take Carolina, who greatly benefits from a less than stellar starting schedule.

Indianapolis Colts +7 v. Arizona Cardinals
Carson Palmer looked horrendous in week 1, and who knows what will happen without do everything running back David Johnson.  Indianapolis looked downright awful last week, and who knows what will happen with Patriot castoff Jacoby Brissett.  I will take the local kid (at least for me) and points.

Tennessee Titans -1 at Jacksonville Jaguars
If I told you this would be a battle of a 1-0 team versus a 0-1 team, there is no way that anyone would ever have thought the Jaguars would be the team with the win.  As we saw Thursday night, it appears that Houston is not good, so I am going to discount the Jaguars win, until they show me more.  Tennessee is a dreaded road favorite, but 1 point isn't really a favorite, so I won't sweat it too much.

Kansas City -5 v. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia has won 3 of their last 4 against Kansas City, including the last 2 at Arrowhead, but this is not an ordinary Chiefs team.  They have speed in rookie running back Kareem Hunt and receiver Tyreek Hill, and Alex Smith isn't afraid to throw downfield.  Philadelphia looked really good against the Washington Racists last week.  However, it isn't clear to me that the Eagles have established a running game with LaGarrette Blount yet.  Although I think Kansas City will cover, this should still be close for most of the game.

New Orleans +6 v. New England Patriots
New England looked downright slow, and shall I say, old, against Kansas City in week 1, and this manifested itself on the edges of the defenses.  Unless New Orleans uses more of Alvin Kamara and less of Mark Ingram and Adrian Peterson, they likely are not going to be able to take advantage of this Patriot DEFiciency.  They do, however, have Michael Thomas that can fly.  I honestly think the Patriots can win this game, just not sure it'll be by more than 6.

Pittsburgh Steelers -6 1/2 v. Minnesoata Vikings
My knee jerk reaction to week 1 would be to select Minnesota off their amazing performance last week.  But, I can't.  Sam Bradford is still Sam Bradford.  He could have a very good season behind an offensive line that looks revamped, and a spry Dalvin Cook.  However, Pittsburgh gets Le'Veon Bell back (not sure last week was "back") and they still have Antonio Brown.  Advantage Steelers.

Oakland Raiders -13 1/2 v, New York Jets
I hate this line.  I hate it, I hate it.  I would feel more comfortable teasing it down even 1 or 2 points, but that isn't the purpose of this exercise.  The Raiders defense with the exception of Khalil Mack is their weakness.  The Jets weakness is at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight end, offensive line, linebacker, corner back and special teams.

Miami Dolphins + 3 1/2 at Los Angeles Chargers
I really like the CHargers this year, but Miami, a bit of a wildcard playing its first game of the season, looks to be well-balanced offensively.  Of course, Jay Cutler will do something stupid and lose some games the Dolphins should win, but the half point in this spread means a lot to me.  The Chargers, who would held primarily in check by the vaunted Broncos defense, should open it up a bit more this week, but not enough to blow out Miami.  I'll take Jay Ajayi and the points.

Denver Broncos +2 1/2 v. Dallas Cowboys
Those that read this column regularly know that I hate road favorites.  especially in a game in which the road favorite has to play the Broncos defense after a subpar performance against a vastly inferior New York Giants team.  It looks like Denver is going to rely on the solid-if-not-spectacular C.J. Anderson to control the ball and let its defense hold the other team philosophy this year.  It could work here today.

Los Angeles Rams -2 1/2 v. Washington Racists
Is it possible that the Rams have more firepower than the Racists?  Kirk Cousins needs a bounce-back game if he wants the big contract at the end of the season, which means he will want to throw it early and often this week.  Look for Trumaine Johnson to seal the deal with an interception on a pass forced by Aaron Donald pressure..

Seattle Seahawks -14 v. San Francisco 49ers
It's San Francisco.

Green Bay Packers +3 at Atlanta Falcons
For no other reason than Green Bay looked much better than Atlanta last week in their defeat of the Seahawks in week 1.  Green Bay looking to assert some early NFC dominance over a team that beat them in the regular season and playoffs last year.

Detroit Lions +3 at New York Giants
I feel that when it is all said and done the Giants will be a bottom dweller this year, and Detroit will  be one of the surprise teams.  I will gladly take points against the Giants.

Big Bet

Chicago Bears +7 at Tampa Bay Buccanneers
After what I saw last week and a much improved Bears defense, especially against the run, and a Buccaneers team without Doug Martin, I think the Bears at least keep this within a touchdown.  Altough I am getting more points with Cleveland, this bet seems safer.

Last Week's Record:  8-6-1
Last Week's Big Bet:  1-0
Year-to-Date Record:  8-6-1
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  1-0
Last Week's Winnings (Losses):  $290
Winnings (Losses) Year-to-Date:  $290

Picks of the Week (Week 5 Edition)

Coming off my worst week of the year to date, I am looking for a big rebound. I also apologize for no NFL recap this week, as I was in the middle of a trial for the past two days, and thus, just didn't have the time. I look to reconvene that topic next week.

Here are your picks for Week 5 of the NFL. Remember, I will be keeping a running total based upon $100/game, 10% vig on all losses, and one $250 contest per week. Coming off an OK week, but lost my big bet, so we need to bounce back, and bounce back hard.

Indianapolis Colts -3 at Houston Texans
It just seems due for the old Colts to return to the NFL. Of course, the Texans played stronger than I suspected last week.

Tennessee Titans -7 at Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee is tough, and Kerry Collins gives them a veteran presence that, well, Joe Flacco doesn't.

San Diego Chargers - 6 1/2 at Miami Dolphins
The Chargers aren't the Patriots. The Dolphins would have liked to have had this game played last week. I think they lost their momentum during the bye.

Carolina Panthers - 9 1/2 versus Kansas City Chiefs
Carolina is the offensive juggernaut that Denver is, especially with their two starting tackles out this week, but neither are they the defensive liability that Denver is. Kansas City won't be able to score enough points to cover.

Washington Redskins + 6 at Philadelphia Eagles
I made last week's bet for the Eagles not knowing Westbrook was out, this week, he'll probably play.

New York Giants -7 versus Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks welcome back some receivers, but I don't think that will matter this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 3 at Denver Broncos
The Buccaneers are much more talented (really?!) than the Kansas City Chiefs, and they have a much stronger defense. I'll take the points.

San Francisco +3 versus New England Patriots
I really don't know why, but that Miami loss had to sting.

Arizona Cardinals -1 versus Buffalo Bills
This game looks like an obvious Bills pick, so I am going the opposite way because I just have a bad feeling.

Dallas Cowboys -16 1/2 versus Cincinnati Bengals
Nobody wants Ryan Fitzpatrick to succeed more than I do, it's just not going to happen this week.

Jacksonville Jaguars -4 versus Pittsburgh Steelers
The injuries may just be too much for Pittsburgh to overcome. Both defenses are stout, it's going to be which team gets, or makes, its own breaks.

New Orleans -3 versus Minnesota Vikings
Too much offense for the Vikings and Gus Frerotte.

Bye

Bye

Bye

I hate byes. We need more football!

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Chicago Bears - 3 1/2 at Detroit Lions
Some people would think that firing Matt Millen would have a karmic effect on the Lions, but I am not quite sure that is how it works. Homerism, do me proud.


Last Week's Record: 7-6
Last Week's Big Bet: 0-1
Year to Date: 35-20-4
Big Bet Year to Date: 1-3
Winnings (Losses) for the Week: ($125)
Winnings (Losses) Year to Date: $955

Beep, Beep, Beep....

It was the only title I could think of to describe a backup...In this case, backup QB.

Okay, the site has been dormant for a while, and I have been absent through name changes to our Patron Saint, reinstatement for our Patron Saint, Grand Jury testimony by our Patron Saint...You get the picture. Part of the problem is laziness. Some of it is vacation. Some of it...well, it's just not defensible.

No matter, we are back and we are talking about someone I have loathed for most of my adult life - Brett Fucking Favre.

If you read the phenomenal piece by Big Daddy Drew (yes, I know he doesn't use that anymore) at Deadspin, you now understand the ABC's of hate. And I agree with every hate filled word. More, as a Chicago Bears fan, there is no one that I hate more than Brett Favre (and his ridiculously spelled name) ! I have always thought that the media sucked from his ass more than should be allowed. I have always believed that his career has been a long series of very good games where he threw 7 to 10 balls up for grabs (and several for interceptions). I have never liked that he became a crossover marketing sensation. And I hate that for nearly two decades, he has been the face of my arch rival.

But, do you know what I hate more? That since Brett Fucking Favre made his first start as QB for the Green Bay Packers in 1992, my beloved Bears have had 49 different people from week to week under center. Twenty three different starting QB's in 15 years. It is so depressing to look at the names and think about the ineptitude.

Who remembers such names as Peter Tom Willis from Florida State (anyone with three names should be assraped with a telephone pole, then killed by angry Costa Rican Nationalists); or Dave Krieg, who was 78 years old when he started for America's team; or Cade McNown of parking ticket fame; or Shane Matthews (Shane? As an NFL QB?); or small handed Rick Mirer?

Do you know any of the following names: Henry Burris, Moses Moreno, Eric Kramer, Steve Stenstrom, Jonathon Quinn, or Chad Hutchinson? They all have started at QB for the Chicago Bears. I will now weep uncontrollably.

I don't really have anything positive to put in this post so I will end with this...I really hate Brett Fucking Favre and I hope that he doesn't end up playing for my team. But at least didn't play for the Boston Red Sux.

Cedric the (Not So) Entertainer

The Chicago Bears, both Sinickal and my favorite team, decided to release talented but ultimately unproductive running back Cedric Benson this week after his second arrest in one month for drunken operation of heavy mechanized vehicles. Although he maintains his innocence, the first instance stemming from a stop on a lake outside Austin, Texas in his boat and the second after being stopped leaving a social meeting with some friends after "a couple of drinks", the Bears ultimately felt that these distractions, along with his Shaun Alexander-like ability to go down after gaining 3 yards upon first contact, would be detrimental to the team.

Now, this leaves the Bears with a serious dearth of running backs on the roster, and no running backs with any real starting experience. (The do have Matt Lawrence, P.J. Pope and Garrett Wolfe, along with Adrian Peterson who just underwent an appendectomy). This means that the Bears hope for a running game rests upon the 44th pick in the NFL Draft, Matt Forte from Tulane, as well as a much improved (I hope) offensive line. Couple this with the much publicized QB troubles, and the Bears seem to be starting the 2008 NFL campaign on a much less than offensive foot. (Except for Robbie Gould's - his is gold).

However, I welcome the release of Cedric Benson. He simply wasn't tough enough to be the type of running back that would live up to the expectations of being the fourth pick in the 2005 draft. In fact, Robert Guillaume may have been a tougher Benson.

When did I come to this conclusion? How about the instant that the Bears selected Cedric Benson - IN APRIL 2005 WHEN HE CRIED AFTER HIS NAME WAS CALLED AT THE NFL DRAFT!!! THAT'S RIGHT, CRIED!!!.

Now, perhaps I can understand that some people would show emotion at realizing their life-long dream of playing in the NFL. Nah, never mind. I CAN'T!!! Especially not when it was a foregone conclusion that Benson was going to be drafted no worse than 5th that year, and had the possibility of being drafted second or third. He knew that he was not only going to be drafted by the NFL, but drafted incredibly high. What on earth was there to cry about? Dumbass!

It is for instances like these where the NFL needs to institute a rule where the team that drafts a player has 10 minutes to observe that player after making the pick in order to determine if they want to keep their pick or select somebody else. It would be akin to the rule that gives you 72 hours to rescind a real estate contract or a contract for pest control services. Had this rule been in effect at the time of the 2005 draft, the Bears definitely would have considered Benson a vermin and drafted someone else, perhaps sixth pick Adam Jones, the Cornerback from West Virginia.

No way HE would have given the Bears any problems.