Thursday, December 17, 2009

Picks of the Week



In honor of the NFL's Thursday night game, I am going to go ahead and make my picks for the entire week. I asked for a winning week last week, and I got it, so I am going to try to keep up the momentum for the last few weeks of the season.

As a refresher, I use the same website for the betting lines for consistency. If they are different than your lines, too bad. Standard 100 bet with a 10% vig for losing. For one game each week, I will "bet" $250. Totals for the season will be tabulated.

On to the picks ...

Indianapolis Colts -3 at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars beat the teams they should, but they usually lose to good teams. The Colts are definitely a good team this year.

Dallas Cowboys +7 1/2 at New Orleans Saints
Tony Romo has actually played well in the last few games. The Cowboys lose this one, but only by a touchdown.

Chicago Bears +11 at Baltimore Ravens
I was impressed with the Bears loss last week, well, impressed enough to take the 11 points. They still lose.

Tennessee Titans -4 1/2 v. Miami Dolphins
I am taking the Titans. Four separate sites all have no line, so I may update this pick later. I found the line. For some reason, I am still sold on Vince Young (at least for this year).

Houston Texans -14 at St. Louis Rams
I am taking the Texans. Four separate sites all have no line, so I may update this pick later. I found the line. The Rams are Null and Void.

Philadelphia Eagles -9 v. San Francsico 49ers
The 49ers defense was impressive against the Cardinals last week, with Patrick Willis being possibly the best defensive player in the league. But, the Eagles have been equally impressive offensively.

Atlanta Falcons +6 at New York Jets
I am taking the Jets. Four separate sites all have no line, so I may update this pick later. OK, I found the line and I am changing my pic. I'll take the six with Ryan and Turner both playing.

Cleveland Brows +1 at Kansas City Chiefs
Both teams playing better as of late, but I am going to go with the points, and the new running game of the Browns behind Chris Jennings.

Arizona Cardinals -12 1/2 at Detroit Lions
Injuries have depleted the Lions, and they didn't have much with which to start.

New England -7 at Buffalo Bills
Might be interesting to see the Moss versus Owens blow-up contest, as in which one will blow up first. (Literally, not figuratively).

Oakland Raiders +1 at Denver Broncos
The Raiders players have shown that they have heart and they are playing like they care. Of course, that is much easier to do when you have a quarterback that can complete more than 7.4% of his passes. The question is, is Charlie Frye more Bruce Gradkowski than JaMarcus Russell?

Cincinnati Bengals +6 1/2 at San Diego Chargers
Emotion keeps this game close. So does the Bengals running game. Even during the loss last week to Minnesota, Benson still gained 96 rushing yards.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 6 1/2 at Seattle Seahawks
Only because the Bucs played the Dolphins close at Miami. It has really been my only exposure to the team this year.

Minnesota Vikings -9 at Carolina Panthers
The Vikings defense is tough to run against, and that is Carolina's specialty. If the Vikings keep DeAngelo Williams in check, this could be a blowout. Carolina might actually be jealous of the Raiders quarterback situation.

Washington Redskins +3 v. New York Giants
I actually just changed my pick on this one. The Redskins have been playing tough, and Vinny Cerrato's firing might be enough to put them over the top against a division rival.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Green Bay Packers +1 at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Packers defense is what the Steelers defense is supposed to be. The Packers are getting points here? I'll take 'em.


Previous Week's Record: 11-5 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 86-64-1 (5-4)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): $700
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $1635

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Picks of the Week



Finally back after a brief hiatus. Here are this week's, "Picks of the Week".

As a refresher, I use the same website for the betting lines for consistency. If they are different than your lines, too bad. Standard 100 bet with a 10% vig for losing. For one game each week, I will "bet" $250. Totals for the season will be tabulated.

On to the picks ...

Pittsburgh Steelers -9 1/2 at Cleveland Browns
I thought for sure that the Browns were exactly what the Steelers needed to halt their slide. I was wrong.

New Orleans Saints -10 at Atlanta Falcons
The Saints are just cruising, and Atlanta is experiencing way too many important injuries.

New York Jets -3 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Without Sanchez, the Jets are going to do what they do best, and that is run the ball with Thomas Jones. Should be a recipe for success.

Carolina Panthers +13 at New England Patriots
The Patriots are in disarray. The Panthers running games should keep the ball out of Brady's hands. Brady seems to be doing his best to keep the ball out of Randy Moss's hands.

Minnesota Vikings -6 v. Cincinnait Bengals
The Bengals continue to surprise everyone, but the Vikings defenses should contain Cedric Benson enough for the Vikings to win.

Buffalo Bills -1 at Kansas City Chiefs
Who cares?!

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 v. Miami Dolphins
If the Dolphins had Ronnie Brown, this could have been one helluva game.

Denver Broncos +6 1/2 at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts cannot keep winning forever, can they?

Houston Texans -7 v. Seattle Seahawks
Houston's offense is just too strong, while Seattle's, isn't.

Baltimore Ravens -14 v. Detroit Lions
For Detroit, at least they are better and more exciting that last year.

Tennessee Titans -13 v. St. Louis Rams
Matt Forte ran all over the Rams. Matt Forte is no Chris Johnson.

Washington Redskins -1 at Oakland Raiders
The Redskins have been much imporved of late, as have the Raiders. This is a much more interesting game than anyone would have guessed even 3 weeks ago.

San Diego Chargers +3 1/2 at Dallas Cowboys
San Diego is probably the least recognized good team in the league. Dallas, however, is the most publicized average team in the league. I'll take the points.

Philadelphia Eagles -1 at New York Giants
Both teams seem to be going in opposite directions. I'll take the team going up.

Arizona -3 1/2 at San Francisco 49ers
The Niners usually play Arizona tough and close, so I am glad to see the spread only 3 1/2 points. I can give those.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Green Bay Packers -4 at Chicago Bears
I am not at all high on my Bears.


Previous Week's Record: 9-10 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 75-59-1 (4-4)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): ($50)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $935

Thursday, November 26, 2009

HAPPY THANKSGIVING EVERYBODY!!!


Enjoy your day, and everything that you are thankful for, like NFL Football!

Here is an abbreviated version of my picks for this week, containing only today's games. I will combine this post with Sunday's game picks later this week.

Green Bay Packers -12 at Detroit Lions
Never take a double digit favorite in a division game, unless the starting quarterback is injured, that team gave up a gazillion yards to the Browns, and, well, that team is the Lions.

Oakland Raiders +13 1/2 at Dallas Cowboys
The Raiders have been playing remarkably strong, and although they are winning, the Cowboys have started their Romo-led December swoon a little bit early.

New York Giants -6 at Denver Broncos
Both teams have slipped from their early starts, but the Giants might just be a bit too strong for the Broncos right now.

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Picks of the Week



Here are this week's, "Picks of the Week", this time with time for a little thought to put into the selections. No more byes, so we have a full slate. Hopefully that will halt the min-slide I have been on. If anything, last week did see my first push of the year. Thanks Belichek! (Please not sarcasm).

As a refresher, I use the same website for the betting lines for consistency. If they are different than your lines, too bad. Standard 100 bet with a 10% vig for losing. For one game each week, I will "bet" $250. Totals for the season will be tabulated.

On to the picks ...

Carolina Panthers -3 1/ v. Miami Dolphins
With Ronnie Brown hurt and Carolina on a bit of a roll, I thought for sure this was a lock. Whoops. Bad start.

Indianapolis Colts -1 at Baltimore Ravens
This should be an excellent game. But for some reason, Indianapolis seems blessed this year. I am not saying they will go undefeated, but with Belichek coaching as if he were Bruce Coslet.

Atlanta Falcons +7 at New York Giants
Atlanta can control the ball, and with Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez, has enough firepower to test the Giants secondary. The Giants, well, aren't playing like the Giants. I believe a touchdown is too many points. I'll take 'em.

Minnesota Vikings -10 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
Vikings just have way too much talent for Seattle this year.

Pittsburgh Steelers -10 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs
With the loss of Dwayne Bowe for 4 weeks, every team can just roll its coverage toward Chris Chambers. Pittsburgh's defense is just too tough for the newly-minted started Jamal Charles.

Jacksonville Jaguars -9 v. Buffalo Bills
The Bills run defense is horrendous, and the Jaguars have, well, nothing more than Maurice Jones-Drew.

Green Bay Packers -6 1/2 v. San Francisco 49ers
Jay Cutler threw 4 interceptions, and the Bears were driving for a winning score when he threw his fifth. That must mean San Francisco is not that good. Frank Gore could still have a great game, but not good enough.

Detroit Lions -3 1/2 v. Cleveland Browns
Did I really just take Detroit? Giving points? Really? Yes. Yes I did. Cleveland will not stop Kevin Smith today. (Did you hear me fantasy teams - you will not stop Kevin Smith!)

Washington Redskins +11 at Dallas Cowboys
I believe that Dallas will win this game, but the Redskins defense is much stronger than people would like to believe, given how bad the team is overall. I'll take the points on this one.

Arizona Cardinals -9 1/2 at St. Louis Rams
I really didn't know where to go on this game. St. Louis has kept games close. It's defense is playing better each week, and Steven Jackson is having a phenomenal season, albeit in obscurity. However, I think Arizona has found a running game in Beenie Man, and that could make for a scary, scary offense. Arizona just needs to play Wells full time, instead of alternating him with Hightower and Tackleberry.

San Diego Chargers -5 1/2 at Denver Broncos
LaDanian Tomlinson might be back. Chris Simms is.

New England Patriots -10 1/2 v. New York Jets
They have to bounce back after last week's debacle.

Cincinnati Bengals -9 1/2 at Oakland Raiders
This line would probably have been 12 if Russell was starting. Instead, it is Bruce Gradkowski at the helm. At least the Raiders still have Sebastian Janikowski. The Benson injury scares me a bit, but only about covering the spread.

Philadelphia Eagles -3 at Chicago Bears
As I said last week, I am no longer betting on this Bears team.

Houston Texans -4 v. Tennessee Titans
I expect 2,000 yards of total offense.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

New Orleans -10 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Saints have been skating by the last few games, or so it seems. However, I saw the Buccaneers play in person last week, and they are no match for the Saints. Josh Freeman does offer them a pretty good looking future at QB, but they just don't have the weapons for him yet.


Previous Week's Record: 7-6-1 (0-1 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 66-49-1 (4-4)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): ($235)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $985

Friday, November 20, 2009

The Ole College Try

So Sinickal has called me out about my post that Terrence Cody deserves the Heisman Trophy. He absolutely does. PERIOD!!! However, I know how the whole Heisman voting works, so Cody doesn't have a prayer. So, given that the season is beginning to wrap up with Rivalry Weeks being this weekend and next weekend, I will replace my usual Heisman Watch/Recap of games with an actual sample of what my Heisman ballot would look like if I had a vote (and if I could vote for 5 spots rather than the usual 3).

Despite the fact that I believe Cody deserves the award, he will not get my 1st place vote, as I want to maximize the points for the most deserving candidate out of those that actually have a chance to win. Here is my ballot, bottom to top.

5. Kellen Moore, QB - Boise State. He leads the nation in passing efficiency with a 172.49 QB rating. He has thrown for a nation leading 32 touchdowns, despite 214 fewer passing attempts than second place Case Keenum of Houston (31 TDs in 514 attempts compared to 32 TDs in 300 attempts for Moore). Plus, Moore deserves to get some votes to offset the fact that Boise State has absolutely no chance to play in the BCS championship game, despite its undefeated season (although it should be in a BCS bowl game, likely the Fiesta again).

4. Terrence Cody, DT - Alabama. Please see this column, where I exalt the virtues of Mr. Cody.

3. Mark Ingram, RB - Alabama. Ingram is Sinickal's selection for Heisman at this point, and a strong case could be made for Ingram, as he is 5th in nation in rushing yards and, more importantly, leads the SEC in rushing. He has 1297 yards at a 6.7 yards clip. However, he only has 10 touchdowns, which is significantly less than other top Running Backs, and Alabama's offense is not that scary in total, anyway. He looks like he will be phenomenal next year, and an early season Heisman favorite. However, this year, he isn't even the best running back. That title belongs to ...


2. C.J. Spiller, RB - Clemson. Spiller only has 836 yards rushing this season, but he also has 382 yards receiving, and 1.2 million return yards. (OK - only 734 yards). He also has 4 return touchdowns this year. You read that correctly - 4! And in every game he plays, he is the best player on the field. But he isn't the only multi-threat player in the game. The best multi-threat player in the game is also my Heisman winner to date. This year's Heisman Trophy should go to ...


1. JORDAN SHIPLEY, WR - Texas. Shipley has the statistics: 81 receptions (6h in the nation), 1,096 yards (5th in the nation) and 8 TDs (14th in the nation), as well as 303 punt return yards and 2 punt returns for TD. But more importantly, he is in control of every Texas game. You may turn on the television to watch Colt McCoy, but your eye will migrate to the apparently always open Shipley. He is the one guy every Longhorn opponent has to account for, otherwise it will be a long game, and Texas opponents have had several long games.

Notice that none of my top 5 include the pre-season top 3 of Sam Bradford, Colt McCoy and Tim Tebow.

Onto the rest of the college football world.

MY NEW FAVORITE PLAYER

DeAndre McDaniel - S - Clemson - I still think that Eric Berry is the best safety, and most likely the best defensive player, in the NCAA, but I have seen McDaniel play 2 whole games, and snippets of others. He is a ball hawk in the true sense of the word, He has 8 interceptions, but he also has 70 tackles, showing he isn't afraid to stick his nose into the running game.

PREDICTED BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME MATCHUP

Alabama v. Texas - Not sure anybody can stop Texas, and obviously, barring a huge upset of Alabama by Auburn or Florida by Florida State, the SEC Champion will be in this game. Right now, that looks like Alabama.

WHAT SEMI LIKELY EVENT TCU, BOISE STATE AND CINCINNATI NEED TO OCCUR THIS WEEK

My assumption of Iowa losing occurred. So now that they are out of the picture for the Championship, TCU, Boise State and Cincinnati all need this to occur this week (Keep in mind other parameters can be met in subsequent weeks, this is just for this week).

Kansas, whose players rally behind Coach Mangino, halt a 5 game slide and defeat Texas. Let's face it, this is much more likely that Chattanooga defeating Alabama or Florida International defeating Florida.

PREDICTED BCS BOWL GAMES

BCS Championship Game - See Above.

Fiesta Bowl - Boise State v. Penn State
Orange Bowl - Georgia Tech v. Cincinnati
Rose Bowl - Oregon v. Ohio State
Sugar Bowl - Florida v. TCU

The Fiesta Bowl will need a big travelling team to counteract Boise State's presence. Penn State is just too attractive of a candidate. Much more attractive than Iowa or Pittsburgh. Oklahoma State could be an option if the beat Oklahoma next week, but without Zac Robinson, that is much less likely.

The Orange Bowl is hoping for a Georgia Tech victory over Clemson in the ACC Championship game. That could pit an undefeated Cincinnati against a one-loss Georgia Tech team. Remember Cincinnati beat Virginia Tech here last year. Of course, Cincinnati needs to beat Pittsburgh in the league, and season, finale to qualify as the Big East Champion.

The Rose Bowl will pit the Big Ten Champion (Ohio State) versus the Pac-10 Champion (likely Oregon, but Stanford, Oregon State and Arizona still in the mix - with Arizona and Oregon playing this week.

The Sugar Bowl will take the SEC second place team (in my scenario Florida), and pit a one loss SEC team against the likely undefeated TCU.

TRIVIA QUESTION OF THE WEEK

C.J Spiller has 4 total return touchdowns (both kickoff and punt returns combined) this season, and 7 for his career. What is the NCAA record for most return touchdowns in a career, with at least one touchdown return for kickoff and punt? Bonus if you can name who holds the record. Place your guesses in the comments.

LAST WEEK'S TRIVIA ANSWER

Last entry's trivia question was, "USC was torched by Oregon on Halloween evening, October 31. Losing on Halloween allowed USC to keep one streak alive. How many consecutive games have the Trojans won in the month of November?" The answer was 28, before last week's obliteration at the hands of Stanford.

MATCHUPS TO WATCH

3. California v. Stanford - Not only is this a big rivalry game, Stanford needs it to stay in the Pac-10 championship hunt.

2. Oregon v. Arizona - Oregon can win the Pac-10, and they are simply exciting to watch. Arizona has come out of nowhere.

1. Harvard v. Yale - THE GAME! Enough said.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Picks of the Week



Here are this week's, "Picks of the Week", without analysis as I have to leave for the Dolphins-Buccaneers classic in about 30 minutes

As a refresher, I use the same website for the betting lines for consistency. If they are different than your lines, too bad. Standard 100 bet with a 10% vig for losing. For one game each week, I will "bet" $250. Totals for the season will be tabulated.

On to the picks ...

Even if you don't believe it ...

San Francisco 49ers -3 v. Chicago Bears - can be verified by friends, when I just said, I don't think I want to bet on the Bears for the rest of the year.

Atlanta Falcons -1 at Carolina Panthers

Denver Broncos -3 1/2 at Washington Redskins

Tennessee Titans -9 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills

New Orleans -12 1/2 at St. Louis Rams

Cincinnati Bengals + 7 at. Pittsburgh Steelers

Jacksonville Jaguars +6 1/2 at New York Jets

Minnesota Vikings -16 1/2 v. Detroit Lions

Miami Dolphins -10 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oakland Raiders -1 v. Kansas City Chiefs

Arizona Cardinals -9 v. Seattle Seahawks

Philadelphia Eagles +1 at San Diego Chargers

New England Patriots +1 at Indianapolis Colts

Baltimore -10 1/2 at Cleveland Browns

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Dallas Cowboys -3 at Green Bay Packers

Previous Week's Record: 6-7 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 59-43 (4-3)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): ($20)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $1220

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Random Thoughts

A short post of random thoughts on the college football action Saturday. Some of these could be individual posts, but...ah screw it. Here are the thoughts:
  • I was watching the crawl during the GaTech - Wake Forest game yesterday and noted that the Oklahoma - Nebraska game was on. Wait, what? This use to be one of the go to games of the year! It is staggering how far the mighty have fallen

  • Speaking of the mighty falling, how about Notre Dame losing to Navy for the second time in three years. Oh, and both in South Bend. How Charlie Weiss keeps his job is beyond me. That team is under talented and underachieving

  • Back to that GaTech win. Paul Johnson went for it on 4th and 1, in OT, at home and down by three. One of the ballsiest calls you will ever see. I can't think of another coach that wouldn't have just kicked the field goal and lived to play another OT. Well maybe Les Miles

  • Oh, and LSU - Alabama...This is the first year in a long time that I am not sure that the SEC has the best team in the nation. I don't know who is, but I am pretty sure that it is not Florida, Alabama or LSU

  • Here are some teams that definitely are not the best team in the nation; Cincinnati, Boise State, Iowa, and TCU. Again, I don't know who the best team is, but I have have named seven who aren't. Even my playoff format would solve this problem. At least, I don't think it would

  • Iowa, like the rest of the Big Eleven, stinks on a stick

  • The injury to the Oregon RB going into the endzone was as fascinating as any that I have seen in a few years. I was both screaming at how good a play he made and screaming because I thought he died

  • I would be remiss if I didn't note that either USC is way overrated or Oregon play the game of their lives last week. I am inclined to think that USC is overrated. You can't continue to put 10 players a year into the NFL and maintain your prominence

  • Who is this years Heisman Trophy frontrunner? I think it is Mark Ingrahm of Alabama, but who knows. Pepster wanted me to acknowledge the Alabama DT with all the blocked FG's this year. Yeah, I don't think so.

  • I will say this about Pepster, Hopps, and myself, we are alums of some very insignificant college programs. Period. Makes it difficult to trash talk on any given Saturday

  • How bad is it for me you ask? I had to root for Syracuse, led by a Duke point guard, against a Dave Wannstadt led Pittsburgh team. Syracuse is awful so it was a certain loss, I hate Paulus and hate having to root for him, and the only thing I hate more is Dave Wannstadt. He is the antichrist for what he did to the Chicago Bears. That, my friends, is the Tennessee Triple. Thankfully, I gargled with sulfuric acid last night to reduce my pain.

You know what, I am old and I should just start watching soccer. It is better for my health.

Picks of the Week



Back on the winning track, albeit barely, after two subpar weeks. Time to continue the streak. Here are this week's, "Picks of the Week".

As a refresher, I use the same website for the betting lines for consistency. If they are different than your lines, too bad. Standard 100 bet with a 10% vig for losing. For one game each week, I will "bet" $250. Totals for the season will be tabulated.

On to the picks ...

Green Bat Packers -9 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is bad, and their defense is no match for this Green Bay offense.

Miami Dolphins +10 1/2 at New England Patriots
New England might be ready for the "Wildcat", at least compared to last year, but Miami is a much better team than a double digit spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars -6 1/2 v. Kansas City Chiefs
Thank God I do not have to worry about watching this game.

Houston Texans +9 at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have no secondary remaining. Even if the Colts win, Andre Johnson should have a big enough game to keep this within a touchdown.

Baltimore Ravens -3 at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are not going to surprise the Ravens this game, and with Odom out of the game, they probably will not have the same pass rush as they mounted in the first game.

Chicago Bears -3 v. Arizona Cardinals
I really did not know where to go for this game, except that Warner is coming off a bad game, and Boldin has not yet shown himself to be Anquan Boldin yet this year due to the high ankle sprain.

New Orleans Saints -13 v. Carolina Panthers
I keep hearing how Carolina is going to run the ball and keep possession away from New Orleans. How did that work out for the Dolphins?

Detroit Lions +10 1/2 at Seattle Seahawks
A boring, close game. I'll take the points.

San Diego Chargers +5 at New York Giants
The Giants secondary has proven to be suspect, and I look for Phillip Rivers to have a very strong game. Look for Antonio Gates to shine as well. The Chargers suspect defense has actually been improving throughout the year.

Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Dallas Cowboys
The Eagles have shown that they are a legitimate contender this year. Dallas hasn't. This game could go a long way to determining which team will be in the driver's seat for the NFC East.

Pittsburgh Steelers - 1 at Denver Broncos
I am still one of the doubters of the Broncos.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Atlanta Falcons -9 v. Washington Redskins
As if anyone didn't know, the Redskins are in serious trouble. The Falcons are cruising into the playoffs.

Previous Week's Record: 7-6 (0-1 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 53-36 (3-3)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): ($125)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $1240

Friday, November 6, 2009

The Ole College Try

Here at We Make It Rain, we are going to change up the typical "Ole College Try". Normally I do the analysis of last week's games, and to some extent the entire college season to date, through the glorified term "Heisman Watch". For those loyal readers, that is a simple guise to highlight the great performances, and performers during the game. This week, however, I will highlight that one person who should, but won't, win the Heisman Trophy this year, at least if the season ended this week.

What characteristics make up the traditional Heisman Trophy winner? OK, now take out the fact that the player has to play quarterback (or maybe running back). Let's just look at the entire gamut of players from all positions. First, the player has to play on a contending team. Not necessarily the best team, but at least a contending team. Second, the player has to be a driving and dominant force on that team. Third, the player has to have significant enough statistics for their position. Fourth, that player has to have at least one defining moment or play that the media and public can latch onto and remember forever. (For example, Desmond Howard striking the Heisman pose after a long touchdown reception). We have all of these bases covered already this season. To date, your Heisman winner should be:



TERRENCE CODY.

Let's go through the questions I self posed above.

1. The player has to play on a contending team. Check. Alabama is undefeated, and presupposing a victory against LSU this week, on a crash course with the Gators in the BCS Championship game.

2. The player has to be a driving and dominant force on that team. Check. Between Cody and Rolando McCain, Alabama is a dominant defense, and that dominance starts with the big nose tackle.

3. The player has to have significant enough statistics for their position. Check. Admittedly harder to determine for a nose tackle, given that a nose tackles job is to simply stuff the middle, but Cody does have 17 tackles, 5 for a loss, and even 2 passes defensed. He also has, well, let's just go to the next question.

4. One defining moment or play. Check/Check. Cody's two blocked kicks, one at the buzzer, against Tennessee to seal the victory against the Volunteers. That play was topped only by his celebration seen nationally over and over again on every single replay on every sports channel nationwide.

Therefore, ladies and gentlemen readers, Terrence Cody should be the Heisman Trophy winner. Nevertheless, it won't happen, as a defensive player has never won a Heisman Trophy. For those that want to argue Charles Woodson, I would posit that he only won the Heisman Trophy by virtue of his defensive play in addition to his play as a return man on special teams. Don't forget that his coach also started to play Woodson as a wide receiver late in the year as well, so Woodson was not truly, or at least not solely, a defensive player.



MY NEW FAVORITE PLAYER

Jeremiah Masoli - QB - Oregon - He absolutely eviscerated the USC Trojans for a total of 368 yards rushing and passing. He is what multi-talented (read pass/run QBs) like Tebow and Terrelle Pryor are supposed to be.

PREDICTED BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME MATCHUP

Alabama v. Texas - I have thought that Florida would be in this game. However, their offense has become entirely too predictable, and Alabama's defense is too tough for a predictable offense. I see nobody that can defeat Texas on their schedule. If Florida can start to get their offense on track, which playing Georgia definitely helped, they will be back in this game.

WHAT BOISE STATE AND CINCINNATI NEED TO OCCUR THIS WEEK

First, I am assuming that Iowa is going to lose at some point in time. Boise State and Cincinnati need LSU to defeat Alabama. (Then a one loss Alabama to defeat Florida in the BCS championship game).

TRIVIA QUESTION OF THE WEEK

USC was torched by Oregon on Halloween evening, October 31. Losing on Halloween allowed USC to keep one streak alive. How many consecutive games have the Trojans won in the month of November?

LAST WEEK'S TRIVIA ANSWER

Last entry's trivia question was, "South Florida's freshman quarterback B.J. Daniels led the Bulls to an upset victory over the Florida State Seminoles. From what hometown does Daniels hail?" The answer, of course, is Tallahassee, Florida, the home of the Seminoles.

MATCHUPS TO WATCH

3. Oregon State v. California - Two of the best running backs in the country matched up in this game. Jacquizz Rodgers for the Beavers and Jahvid Best for the Bears. Must see for anyone that likes to watch tough runners.

2. Oregon v. Stanford - Can Oregon follow-up their drudging of USC at a much better than expected Cardinal squad? I say a resounding "Yes", but crazy things have been happending in the Pac-10 this year.

1. LSU v. Alabama - LSU is ridiculously overrated (as is most of the SEC this year), but can make a big statement by defeating the Crimson Tide. (By overrated I mean that Florida and Alabama should be the only teams rated in any poll)

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Picks of the Week



After a second consecutive 5-9 week, I decided to take a couple of weeks off. (OK, that really wasn't the decision, I was just too busy to put the post up before the games started. Nevertheless, I am back. Here are this week's, "Picks of the Week".

As a refresher, I use the same website for the betting lines for consistency. If they are different than your lines, too bad. Standard 100 bet with a 10% vig for losing. For one game each week, I will "bet" $250. Totals for the season will be tabulated.

On to the picks ...

Baltimore Ravens -3 1/2 v. Denver Broncos
Denver has been a pleasant surprise this year. It just seems like time for the Ravens to finally make a stand against a good team. Plus, it is about time for Denver to lose a big game.

Miami Dolphins +3 1/2 at New York Jets
Jets seem to be reeling a bit, and the Dolphins have been able to run on everyone. I think they can do that against the Jets, at least enough to win.

Indianapolis Colts -13 v. San Francisco 49ers
Alex Smith. PERIOD.

Detroit Lions -4 v. St. Louis Rams
Desperately close to selecting the Rams here. Stephen Jackson is quietly having a very good season. However, the Rams themselves have been so uncomptetitive, they will have to prove it to me before I pick them. Plus, Stafford is back, and Kevin Smith has traditionally played very well against the Rams.

Dallas Cowboys -9 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
More of a note on how bad Seattle can be versus how good Dallas is.

Chicago Bears -13 v. Cleveland Browns
See above.

Houston Texans -3 1/2 at Buffalo Bills
Texans seem to be heating up. It looks like Andre Johnson is going to play. If he can be effective, this is an easy bet. Johnson's lung is the only thing that kept this from being my "Big Game of the Week".

Philadelphia Eagles +1 v. New York Giants
Giants seem to be reeling a bit after being taken down a notch by the Saints. I think the trend might continue as good coaches like Reid pick apart the Saints and Cardinals film.

San Diego Chargers -16 1/2 v. Oakland Raiders
Double digit favorites have been remarkably successful this year. I think the Chargers are embarrased after the week 1 debacle, and they will not be surprised by the Raiders this week, especially with the Raiders coming off the Eagles game.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3 at Tennessee Titans
Vince Young is starting and giving points. Deadly combination. The downside of this bet, Young is well rested.

Minnesota Vikings +3 at Green Bay Packers
Adrian Peterson is pretty good too in case you didn't know.

New Orleans Sants -11 v. Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is a very good team that can score from anywhere on the field. They are no New Orleans offense, which can score in absolute bunches. Atlanta could play New Orleans very close and still lose by 14-17.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Arizona Cardinals -10 v. Carolina Panthers
Arizona's play against the Giants was the first that they have actually looked like they were in the Super Bowl last year. Still waiting for the Panthers to look like they were in the NFL last season (other than DeAngelo Williams, of course).

Previous Week's Record: 5-9 (0-1 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 46-30 (3-2)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): ($1155)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $1365

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

GET DIRECT TV FOOL!


If you had Direct TV you wouldn't have to worry about that!

Monday, October 19, 2009

DC: City of Champions

Yeah, yeah…I am back. Blah, blah, blah. Spare me your jokes, punks.

Anyway, I live in Washington, DC. As a result, I had the privilege of watching the following NFL games yesterday as part of my network package (I have Comcast Cable whom I hate more than the current lovefest with Brett Farve):

1:00 Kansas City vs. Washington (remarkably, not blacked out)

4:00 Philadelphia vs. Oakland and Buffalo vs. NY Jets

That’s right I got to watch four of the worst football teams possibly in the history of the league! And I have one declaration to make here – The Washington Redskins are the worst team I have seen.

THEY ARE VOMIT ON BURNT TOAST!

Keep in mind that as I write this: 1) there was team whose quarterbacks went a combined 2 – 14 for minus 7 yards and 2 interceptions. Shockingly, they lost 59 – 0 and that score could have been 1000 – 0; 2) JaMarcus Russell is still a starter in the league; 3) Tampa Bay and St. Louis may both go 0 – 16 and it wouldn't be a surprise; 4) There are five starting quarterbacks in the league with QB Ratings below 60.0 and only Mark Sanchez plays for a team with a winning record. That will soon change because; 5) Mark Sanchez went 10 - 29 for 119 yards and 5 interceptions yesterday.

Back to the Redskins. Consider the following:

- As of today, the Redskins have not played a team that had registered a win. You are welcome to throw out the NY Giants since that was week one, but that leaves five consecutive winless teams! Has that ever happened before?

- Three teams have registered their first win of the season against the Redskins (Detroit, Carolina, Kansas City).

- During the Kansas City game yesterday there was an attempted onside free kick after a safety. Again, has that ever happened before?

- The Redskins beat Tampa Bay and St. Louis by a combined 5 points. AT HOME!

Now, the Carolina Panthers were a 12-3 playoff team last year and their demise – like Tennessee’s - is somewhat disturbing. You can certainly point to several reasons for why but that is for another post. As for the Chiefs and Lions, well Kansas City had lost 9 straight and 15 of 16 before yesterday. And Detroit? Detroit’s win was its first in 20 games. Let me repeat that, 20 GAMES!

I have no real point to this post other than to take some minutes from your lives. I lost 8 hours of mine yesterday and those are never coming back.

I hate Dan Snyder. I hate that he is making my football watching experience this year like tweezing pubic hair. I have to watch the putrid home team or, soon enough, nothing because the team will be blacked out!

I just want what all other decent, hard-working football fans want...quality entertainment. I don't want to have to start watching the UFL. And, I don’t need this type of torture.

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Picks of the Week



I took it on the chin about this week, with my first sub-.500 performance. Trying for a nice rebound this week. Here are this week's "Picks of the Week". As a refresher each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I will keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks, without analysis, since I have a lot to do today.

Baltimore Ravens -9 v. Cincinnati Bengals

Minnesota Vikings -10 at St. Louis Rams

Philadelphia Eagles -15 1/2 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New York Giants -15 v. Oakland Raiders

Dallas Cowboys -9 at Kansas City Chiefs

Pittsburgh Steelers -10 1/2 v. Detroit Lions

Carolina Panthers -4 v. Washington Redskins

Cleveland Browns +6 at. Buffalo Bills

San Francisco 49ers -2 1/2 v. Atlanta Falcons

Houston Texans +5 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 at Seattle Seahawks

Indianapolis Colts -3 1/2 at Tennessee Titans

New York Jets -1 at Miami Dolphins

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

New England Patriots -3 at Denver Broncos


Previous Week's Record: 6-8 (0-1 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 41-21 (3-1)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): ($445)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $2075

Thursday, October 8, 2009

Talkin' Baseball



While discussing many of life's important issues, your authors, (Yes, all three of us), turned to the baseball playoffs. Yes, we know that 3 series have already started, but we had our conversation and predictions at lunch yesterday. Just getting to the post toda. Here are our respective predictions, along with the transcript of our exact converstion.

Pepster: Hey Hopps, Sinickal, good to speak with you guys again. How are you doing?
Sinickal: Not too bad, lots of golf over the weekend. Got to get all the east coast golf in that I can before it gets too cold, and I have to concentrate on only Arizona golf.
Hopps: Besides the fact that the family is driving me crazy? I'm doing great.
Pepster: Good, Good. So, playoffs starting today. After that Minnesota-Detroit play-in game, I am ready for some good playoff baseball.
Sinickal: Can you believe how the term "Play-in" game has become so widespread? Just because the NCAA tourney wanted to have 34 at large teams. Ridiculous.
Pepster: I know. They even had a "play-in" game in my kickball league this season.
Hopps: You clowns still playing kicball?
Pepster: Yep.
Sinickal: Not exactly playing since the Achilles incident.
Hopps: Dopes.

Pepster: Anyway, let's start with the Yankees/Twins series, since the Yankess outdistanced everyone else in the Major Leagues by 6 whole games.
Hopps: You know I hate them. I'll just say Yankees in 4.
Pepster: Excellent analysis Hopps.
Hopps: Shut up. I just hate them soooo much.
Pepster/Sinickal: We know. We know.
Sinickal: I think that the Twins are just on a real hot streak right now. Mauer is as good as they come with the bat, Kubel and Spann have been hitting machines this year. Plus, remember that run the Rockies went on a couple of years ago. I don't think that the Twins will win, but they will play the Yanks tough. Yankess in 5.
Pepster: Interesting. Don't forget how well Young has been hitting the last 6 weeks or so too. Bottom line, the Twins are spent. Morneau would have made a big difference as well. Sabathia's inninngs have been lowered, so he's rested, and the bullpen is just lights out. I think the Yankees sweep.

Sinickal: So, we all agree on the Yankees. Let's turn to the other American League series. Hopps, what do you think about this one.
Hopps: Sox will win it all!!!!
Sinickal: So you expect them to beat the Angels.
Hopps: I expect them to beat the Yankees.
Sinickal: They aren't playing the Yankees.
Hopps: Who cares. Sox sweep!
Sinickal: Pepster, your take?
Pepster: I think I am in the minority in this room. I think the Angels will win, in 4.
Sinickal/Hopps: What?!
Pepster: I know, I know. Sox have won 9 of the last 10 in the playoffs against the Angels, but I just have a different feel about this series. It used to be the Angels were Vlad Guerrero at the plate, and hope Glaus, Kotchman or somebody else could hit with him, and maybe Figgins get on base. Not so this year. Kendry Morales hit over .300 with his 34 homers and over 100 RsBI.
Sinickal: Just stop it with your RsBI. I know it is Runs Batted In, not Run Batted Ins, but call them RBIs anyway.
Pepster: Like I was saying, Morales has flat out hit, Torii Hunter, Mike Napoli and Howie Kendrick have had solid seasons, and Abreu will take about 1,000 pitches, wearing down the Sox staff. Although Ortiz has been coming along, Youkilis doesn't seem the same, and he is incredibly important for the Sox.
Sinickal: All true and good points, except that the Angels pitching staff remains the same. Lackey, Saunders, Santana. Kazmir doesn't seem to be himself. Beckett is a big-game pitcher. Sox in 3.
Pepster: Don't I know that. Beckett is money.
Sinickal: Shut up - don't bring up 2003 with me.
Pepster: Why not? Because Beckett shut down your Cubs? Are you going to predict the Cubs will win next year for the 108th consecutive year? (Purposefully not mentioning the word "Bartman").
Sinickal: Find some fans. Really. Like there are more than 14 Marlins fans in the world.

Hopps: OK, guys, that seems like a good time to switch to both of your beloved National League. Before we start, let me remind you that my team is the only one in the playoffs.
Pepster/Sinickal: Shut up.
Hopps: Dodgers-Cardinals. Who you got?
Pepster: I would think that this will be a split-decision amongst ourselves. You can't find 5 bigger Manny Ramirez fans in the country (not named Ramirez) than me. However, Pujols is the best player on the planet. That alone is worth one game. The Holliday and DeRosa pick-ups have proven to be the best mid-season moves in baseball. I say Cardinals in a hard fought 5. Wow - I didn't even talk about pitching.
Sinickal: Carpenter/Wainwright. Enough said. Cardinals in 4.
Hopps: Really? Ramirez is just as deadly at Pujols, because he just doesn't care if he fails in a big spot. That makes him that much more dangerous. Ethier and Kemp are incredible in the field, and at the plate. And you really want to pitch to either Ramirez or Ethier at the plate in a big spot? Billingsley and Kershaw have incredible stuff. Not as good over the full season as Carpenter and Wainwright, but for any given game, those guys can pitch with anyone. Dodgers in 4.

Pepster: What about the Phillies series?
Hopps: The Rockies are a formidable enough team to win 1 game. Phillies in 4.
Sinickal: I would love to give some fascinating analysis about this series, but it isn't really worth it. Phillies sweep.
Pepster: I concur.

Pepster: Gentlemen, it has been a pleasure. I'll call you both before the LCS starts. Closing thoughts?
Hopps: My analysis is a little hindered and blinded by my fandom, but with Lester and Beckett, the Sox have two power, power pitchers to go in any series. That gives them a huge advantage. I just hope that they can take advantage of it.
Pepster: Now I know that we are nowhere near being what others would call emotional guys, but I have to give props to how the Angels have handled the Nick Adenhart situation. Great celebration when they clinched the playoff spot. That would be a great story if that continued. Sinickal - how 'bout our Bears?
Sinickal: Doing great so far. Glad Gould is better than each of the other kickers he has faced so far. Cutler is definitely worth it to date. But, they have a bye this week, so go Syracuse.
Pepster: They are 2-3, going against West Virginia this week. Make that 2-4.
Hopps: And you have to root for Paulus. BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!
Sinickal: Yeah, well Harvard may run the world, but Syracuse writes, produces and directs it.
Hopps/Pepster: Yeah, yeah. Like we haven't heard that before.

Sunday, October 4, 2009

Picks of the Week



A nice 11-5 week 3 to follow week 2's 15-1. Let's see how I can do this week. Here are this week's "Picks of the Week". As a refresher each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I will keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks, without analysis, since the games are getting ready to start.

Chicago Bears -9 1/3 v. Detroit Lions

Washington Redskins -9 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baltimore Ravens +1 at New England Patriots

New York Giants -9 at Kansas City Chiefs

Tennessee Titans -3 at Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts -10 v. Seattle Seahawks

Oakland Raiders +9 at Houston Texans

Cincinnati Bengals -6 at Cleveland Browns

Buffalo Bills +1 at Miami Dolphins

New Orleans Saints -7 1/2 v. New York Jets

San Francisco 49ers -9 v. St. Louis Rams

San Diego Chargers +6 at Pittsburgh Steelers

Minnesota Vikings -4 v. Green Bay Packers

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Dallas Cowboys -1 at Denver Broncos


Previous Week's Record: 11-5 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 35-13 (3-0)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): $700
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $2520

Friday, October 2, 2009

The Ole College Try

Here is this week's wrap-up of the college football season, told from a distance simply to let some of the stories simmer a bit and to gain a bit of perspective. Although you may have a different take on the past weekend, I can only truly comment on games that I have seen, and this is my perspective. I did watch an absolute ton of games this week, so lots of information in this week's Try.

Heisman Watch

Big 3 Edition (Since ESPN told me only 3 candidates exist)
As stated earlier - I no longer subscribe to the Big 3 theory (Bradford, McCoy, Tebow).


Quarterback Edition
Tony Pike - Cincinnati - 1,223 yards, 11 TDs, with a 70% completion rate. One of two very important offensive reasons Cincinnati should be looked at seriously for the BCAS Championship game (plus their schedule).

Running Back Edition
Ryan Mathews - Fresno State - 592 yards and 5 TDs, despite being the primary weapon upon which every defense is focused. Of course, he is helped by Cal's obliteration. I still expect Jahvid Best to be back on this list soon.

Statistical Favorite - Still Taylor Potts - Texas Tech - 1,602 yards and 13 TDs, including 321 yards against a surprising Houston team that humbled Oklahoma State as well.

Miscellaneous Position
Marshawn Gilyard - WR - Cincinnati - 31 catches, 442 yards and 6 TDs, including 9 for 177last week against Fresno State.


Defensive Leader - Eric Norwood - LB - South Carolina - Definitely going to give Eric Berry a run for Defensive Player of the Year in the SEC. Norwood runs sideline-to-sideline, has 6 sacks, and even an interception so far this season. Standout in the 'Cocks upset of then number 4 Ole Miss.

Sleeper - Kellen Moore - QB - Boise State - Leading the country in passing efficiency for a team likely to finish the season undefeated.

Rising - Ryan Williams - RB - Virginia Tech - 492 yards and 8 touschdowns to date, including lighting up Miami for 150 yards and 2 scores.

Falling - Jacory Harris - QB - Miami - Perhaps I was a little to hasty to anoint Jacory Harri as the third straight Heisman winning sophomore quarterback. Tough loss to V-Tech, however, if Graham, the power forward-turned-tight end catches one of the two passes on the second drive in the third quarter, the score is 21-14, and it is a whole different ballgame.

Player to Watch

Eric Decker - WR - Minnesota - Perhaps the only reason to watch Minnesota, this exciting receiver is well worth the price of admission.

Taylor Wyndham - DE - Kentucky - If you have to ask why, then you either (a) don't know me; or (b) don't read this blog regularly.

My New Favorite Player

Goat of the Week (Player Edition)
Matt Pipho - T - Miami - His horrendously awful pass blocking led to the Hokies' constant harassment of Jacory Harris, and his run blocking was even worse.

Goat of the Week (Coach Edition)
Joe Paterno - Penn State - To not have your team ready for this game is absolute abomination. With their weak schedule, 1 loss completely knocks Penn State out of the Championshp hunt.

Coach of the Week
Kirk Ferentz - Iowa - Is there a coach in the country that constantly does more with less than Kirk Ferentz?

Breakthrough Performer of the Week
Jean Pierre-Paul - DT - South Florida - George Selvie is a high NFL draft pick caliber on the end of the line, but Pierre-Paul more than upheld his own against the middle of the Florida State line in the Bulls upset of the Seminoles. A couple of sacks and dozens of pressures, Pierre-Paul looked to me like that 4th round draft pick that plays for 10 years in the NFL.

Breakthrough Coach
Dan Mullen - Mississippi State - A goal line stand by LSU away from upsetting the Tigers. Mullen has made Mississippi relevant, and better than they should be right now, while the offense at Florida has grown stagnant. (Mullen was the Offensive Coordinator for the Gators before coming to Mississippi State). Mullen earning his coaching stripes in a tough, tough conference.

Predicted BCS Championship Game Matchup
Texas v. Alabama - Alabama is looking much stronger than Florida right now. Texas does not look like they have a challenger unless Bradford returns, at top form.

RANT OF THE WEEK

Would the officials at least learn the rules. If two players possess the ball simultaneously, the offensive player is deemed to maintain possession. Afterward, if both players then fall to the ground, the play is over, and the offensive receiver is down by contact. If the defensive player then takes the ball away, the offense maintains the ball, it is not an interception. I hope you learned your lessons Big Ten officials in the Michigan/Indiana game, plus the replay official.

Congratulations of the Week

Jim Leavitt - Coach - South Florida - A big in-state win against the Seminoles that should cement Leavitt as one of the better coaches in the country.

Under Performance of the Week

Miami - They did not show up to play in the first half against Virginia Tech. They just were not yet ready to handle the pressure of the big time.

Game of the Week

Michigan 36 - Indiana 33 - Just an exciting game from start to finish. Indiana has not won at the Big House in 42 years. Michgan scores a touchdown, Indiana answers a couple of drives later, only for Michigan to score again on the next drive. Toss in the phantom interception call, and you have the makings of a great 4th quarter.

Play(s) of the Week

Second week in a row for a defensive play. Kentucky's defensive end Taylor Wyndham knocking Florida quarterback Tim Tebow, TFO.

A strong runner up to Safety Chad Jones of LSU, who, on Mississippi State's potential game winning drive, made the play on third, and fourth down. On third down he jumped high into the air to deflect a pass to a wide open tight end. (Jones was easily 5 yards away from the intended receiver while no other player was in the end zone). On fourth down, Chad Jones made the initial hit on quarterback Tyson Lee. LSU won 30-26.

Trivia Question of the Week

South Florida's Freshman Quarterback B.J. Daniels led the Bulls to an upset victory over the Florida State Seminoles. From what hometown does Daniels hail?

Last Week's Trivia Answers

Last week's first question was, "Oklahoma State's Zac Robinson set the Oklahoma State career touchdown record. Whos recod did he break. The answer is Josh Fields.

Last week's second question was, "Tim Tebow's 30 consecutive game streak with at least 1 touchdwon was ended by Tennessee. Who holds, and what is, the recod for most consecutive games with at least 1 touchdown pass? The answer is Ty Detmer, 35 games.

Matchup(s) to Watch

4. LSU v. Georgia - LSu just hasn't looked like a top 4 team yet this year, so the competition of Georgia, who has played Oklahoma State, South Carolina, Arkansas and Arizona State to date, should prove a tough test. The winner of this game is likely to be better than anyone thought.

3. Alabama v. Kentucky - Although the transitive property does not specifically apply in sporting events, Kentucky hosting Florida and Alabama back-to-back can give us a glimpse as to the quality of those two teams vis-a-vis each other.

2. USC v. California - Neither of these teams can afford to lose their second conference game. This was supposed to be the game in the conference, before the losses to Washington and Oregon, respectively. Winner still in the hunt for the Rose Bowl (and outside shot at the BCS Championship game), losers season becomes very disappointing.

1. Oklahoma v. Miami - The matchup this week east of the Mississippi. Can Miami's youngsters bounce back from the VTech defeat? Is Oklahoma the same team with Landry Jones? Will Sam Bradford play? Is Miami more comfortable at home? Either way you slice it, this game should be exciting.

And once again, for good time's sake!

Me and Mariah...(She's Back!)



It's like when you've seen an ex-girlfriend from 15 years ago and you wonder to yourself why you stopped being into her.....?

If that doesn't work for you - I question your Manhood


Almost stripper heels...


Yup.


GOOD GOD!


And a side of DAMN!


A two piece to go...

Enough Said! Have a great weekend!

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Picks of the Week



Wow - What a week 2 for me (/pats self on the back). You don't get much better than 15-1 against the spread. That is going to be a tough act to follow. However, not that week 3 of the NFL season is upon us, I will have to do forward and try to capitalize on my recent successess. Here are this week's "Picks of the Week". As a refresher each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I will keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks.

Tennessee Titans +2 at New York Jets
The Jets offense is nowhere near as prolific as Houston's can be on their best day, I look for the Titans to bounce back from a rough defeat last week.

Houston Texans -3 1/2 v. Jacksonville Jaguars
Not only did the Texans finally wake up last week, they did it without a strong game from Steve Slaton, which is important because the Jags are still pretty stout against the run.

Philadelphia Eagles -9 v. Kansas City Chiefs
The good thing for the Eagles is that the Chiefs are not the Saints. In fact, I don't think they are even the "Aints" from the 80's.

Baltimore Ravens -13 1/2 v. Cleveland Browns
Two pathetic efforts by the Browns coupled with the fact that the Ravens have an actual offense.

New York Giants -6 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
My only hesitation is that the Giants are coming off an emotional victory in opening Cowboy Stadium.

Detroit Lions +6 1/2 v. Washington Redskins
Detorit has played pluckily in the first half in their first two games. That may be enough to keep this one close against the Redskins, who barely defeated an abysmal St. Louis Rams last week 9-7.

Green Bay Packers -6 1/2 at St. Louis Rams
Rams have scored 7 total points this year. One touchdown by the Packers may be enough to cover the spread.

San Francsisco 49ers +7 at Minnesota Vikings
A very interesting 49ers team that can be great on defense, and better than expected on offense. I think the Vikes win this one, but the 49ers keep it close.

Atlanta Falcons +4 1/2 at New England
I am picking the team with the most dynamic weapons on offense. That is not the Patriots.

New Orleans Saints -6 at Buffalo Bills
New Orleans shredded the Eagles defense. I am not sure that there is a spread high enough that I wouldn't pick New Orleans right now.

Miami Dolphins +5 1/2 at San Diego Chargers
Miami's running game was great against the Colts. The Chargers so far have been horrific at stopping the run.

Cincinnati Bengals +3 1/2 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Steelers cannot run the ball, while the Bengals have some big, strong receivers which will force matchup problems in the secondary. Add those ingrediants to a intra-divisional game, and I'll take the upstart Bengals.

Oakland Raiders + 1 1/2 v. Denver Broncos
The Broncos were the one team that I picked incorrectly last week. I didn't want to select them for that reason alone. Plus, JaMarcus Russell has to start picking things up soon (doesn't he?).

Indianapolis Colts + 2 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis has already proven that it does not need the ball that much to win a game. Only 15 minutes in time of possession last week (compared to 45 for the Dolphins).

Dallas Cowboys - 8 1/2 v. Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys defense has been a big problem for them this year (no turnovers, no sacks). Likewise, Jake Delhomme has been the problem for the Panthers. One of them has to change this game. I think its Dallas' D.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Chicago Bears -2 1/2 at Seattle Seahawks
I despise picking the Bears in the big game as they are my favorite team. However, it is just too hard to resist this week, as they are giving up less than a field goal to a Seahawks team that will be starting Seneca Wallace, or a lumbering (on his best days) Matt Hasselback, with a broken rib. The Seahawks will have to rely on Julius Jones, Edgerrin James and TJ Duckett to run the ball. I like those odds.

Previous Week's Record: 15-1 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 24-8 (2-0)
Previous Weeks Winnings (Losses): $1540
Year to Date Winnings (Losses): $1820

Friday, September 25, 2009

The Ole College Try

Here is this week's wrap-up of the college football season, told from a couple of days distance simply to let some of the stories simmer a bit and to gain a bit of perspective. Although you may have a different take on the past weekend, I can only truly comment on games that I have seen, and this is my perspective. I was at the Tennessee/Florida game this weekend, so I did not have the opportunity to watch as many games as normal. I still saw a good amount though.

Heisman Watch

Big 3 Edition (Since ESPN told me only 3 candidates exist)
Despite the World Wide Leader's belief, I am discontinuing this section as clearly, Bradford and Tebow should no longer be considered candidates given their early performances. I have no doubt they will play their way back into play by the end of the season.

Quarterback Edition
Jacory Harris - Miami - 656 yards and 5 TDs in only 2 games, against Florida State and Georgia Tech. 270 yards and 3TDs, against 0 interceptions against Georgia Tech alone, while completing only 80% of his passes. Looks like we could see our third straight sophomore quarterback Heisman winner.

Running Back Edition

Favorite - Jahvid Best - California - 131 yards and 5 TDs against Minnesota in a 35 - 21 victory last week. And on top of that, he is the third leading rusher in the country so far, only 35 yards behind Ryan Matthews of Fresno State.

Statistical Favorite - Still Taylor Potts - Texas Tech - 1,281 and 12 TDs, including 420 yards against the vaunted Texas defense.

Miscellaneous Position - LeRoy Vann, PR - Florida A & M - 2 punt returns for touchdowns in each of the first two games. He has 4 on the season already. The FCS (that's Division I-AA for those of you that refuse to make the jump into the present) record for a season is 5!

Defensive Leader - Eric Berry - S - Tennessee - His interception against Florida gave him 13 for his career. And, he was all over the field against Florida as well. He seemed to make every tackle around the line of scrimmage.

Sleeper - Ryan Mallett - QB - Arkansas - 717 yards, and 6TDs in only two games, including 408 and 5 against Georgia. The best part is 0 interceptions, in 61 attempts, for an ungodly 193.49 QB rating.

Rising - Case Keenum - QB - Houston - The NCAA's returning total offense leader has 725 yards, 7 TDs, 1 interception in only 2 games, which includes the upset of then number 5 Oklahoma State.

Falling - Tim Tebow - Only 540 yards passing in 3 games, and he has already been sacked 4 times (keeping in mind that his first two games were against Charleston Southern and Troy.

Player to Watch

Ryan Mathews - RB - Fresno State - The nations leading rusher carries a hefty 9.1 yards per carry so far this year, including 234 against Boise State.

My New Favorite Player

Eric Berry - S - Tennessee - I used to be on the Taylor Mays of USC was the best safety in the country bandwagon. After seeing Berry play, that is no longer the case.

Goat of the Week (Player Edition)

Aaron Corp - QB - USC - OK, so picking on a backup quarterback and calling them a goat may not be completely fair, but backups at USC are not your normal backups, and Corp was the starting entering fall practice. He went 13 - 22 with 1 interception in USC's loss at Washington (who won exactly as many college football games last year as I did). Each of the 9 incompletions looked horrendous.

Goat of the Week (Coach Edition)

Urban Meyer - Florida - Was whispering around town about scoring 100 against Tennessee. He should start by trying to score 24. He should also start by trying to stop the run. Blaming the flu on Sunday is not classy at all Coach. Not at all. If you think that the flu is going to be an issue, be up front about it, don't sneak it in after a lackluster effort. You insult your opponents by doing that.

Predicted BCS Championship Game Matchup
Texas v. Florida - No reason to change it yet, but Alabama is starting to look real strong. We will see what Miami has these next two weeks.

RANT OF THE WEEK

Not one person in the media has come out against Urban Meyer this week (see above). I understand the the entire sports-media complex wants to see Tim Tebow in the championship game, but that does not excuse Meyer's antics this week before and after the Tennessee game. At least one legitimate national columnist or commentator should have brought it up.

Congratulations of the Week

Zac Robinson - QB - Oklahoma State - Not only bounces back from the Houston loss to defeat Rice, but his two touchdowns set the Oklahoma State record for career touchdown passes.

Under Performance of the Week

USC - I understand that Corp is your backup quarterback, but a loss at Washington is not a good way to follow the huge win at Ohio State.

Game of the Week

Georgia 52 - Arkansas 41 - Georgia QB Joe Cox threw for 375 yards and 5 TDs, and he was the least productive quarterback on the field. Just an outstanding aerial show by both offenses (and/or pathetic display by the defenses).

Play(s) of the Week

Texas's Sergio Kindle sacks Texas Tech's Taylor Potts, and separates Potts from the football, AND HIS HELMET, to lead to Colt McCoy's final touchdown pass and to preserve the Texas victory.

Trivia Questions of the Week

As stated above, Oklahoma State's Zac Robinson set the Oklahoma State career touchdown record. Whose record did he break?

Tim Tebow's 30 consecutive game streak with at least 1 touchdown pass was ended by Tennessee. Who holds, and what is, the record for most consecutive games with at least 1 touchdown pass?

Last Week's Trivia Answer

Last week's question was, "Central Michigan's Dan LeFevour set the MAC Total Offense Recor. Whose record did he break?" The answer is Marshall's Byron Leftwich.

Matchup(s) to Watch

4. Iowa v. Penn State - I have no doubt that Penn State remembers last year's heartbreaking loss to the Hawkeyes. I also have no doubt that Penn State has looked beatable this year. I am sure they win at home, but it looks like it is going to be a great game to watch.

3. Texas Tech v. Houston - Should be another offensive juggernaut with around 1 million passing yards.

2. Arkansas v. Alabama - It's time for Ryan Mallett to show us if he can play against a real strong defense. It's time for Alabama to show that it is ready to take on the Gators.

1. Miami v. Virginia Tech - As stated previously, the Hurricanes are my favorite team. But, this this is also a potential conference championship game. Could the Canes be 3-0 heading into Oklahoma week?

Friday, September 18, 2009

Picks of the Week



Week 2 of the NFL season is upon us. Here is this week's "Picks of the Week". As a refresher each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I will keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks.

Houston Texans +6 1/2 at Tennessee Titans
I believe that Houston's (lack of) offense last week was due more to a strong defense on the part of the Jets. Tennessee is without Haynesworth, although Finnegan can play Johnson tough. The Titans don't look to be blowing too many people out this year. I'll take the points.

New York Jets +3 1/2 v. New England Patriots
The Jets defense looks to be tough this year under Rex Ryan, and New England's defense is not going to be the same without Seymour and Mayo.

Cincinnati Bengals +9 at Green Bay Packers
This was a difficult decision for me, but Green Bay had 9,000 turnovers against the Bears and still only won by 6. A revived Cedric Benson may keep the ball long enough to make this closer than expected.

Minnesota Vikings -10 at Detroit Lions
Rookie Quarterback, meet Kevin Williams, and Pat Williams and Jared Allen. Smart money says always take double digit points in a division game. Smart money also didn't have to go against Adrian Peterson.

New Orleans +1 at Philadelphia Eagles
Drew Brees versus Kevin Kolb. One of these things is not like the other.

Atlanta Falcons -6 1/2 v. Carolina Panthers
Atlanta's offense is strong, and the Panthers could be in serious trouble this year.

St. Louis Rams +10 at Washington Redskins
Simply because I do not want to give up double digit points in more than one game.

Arizona Cardinals +3 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars reeling from their owners Tim Tebow comments this week. Arizona bounces back from last week's loss at the hands of the surprising 49ers.

San Francisco 49ers -1 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
Mike Singeltary will continue to have this team ready to play. If Seattle tries to run the ball with its unholy (and un-young) triumverate, Patrick Willis may have 20 soo tackles.

Buffalo Bills -5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Even without getting its wide receivers into the action, the Bills played New England tough. The Bills should use this momentum to beat a very beatable Bucs squad.

Cleveland Browns +3 at Denver Broncos
The Browns were surprisingly spry against the Vikings, at least for a half. Plus, if Denver is giving points this year, I am going to take them.

Baltimore +3 at San Diego Chargers
Baltimore actually has an offense this year. San Diego had problms with Oakland's offense. LDT is already injured this year. Baltimore' defense has the speed to contain Sproles.

Chicago Bears +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Despite an absolutely horrific performance by Cutler, the Bears only lost by 6 at the Packers. Plus, the Steelers cannot run the ball. I look for the Bears to bounce back.

New York Giants +3 at Dallas Cowboys
Despite the presence of DeMarcus Ware, the Cowboys defense isn't that strong. The Giants' offensive line and running game is.

Indianapolis +3 at Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins fall back to earth after last year's playoff run.

Just for the record, I lost the Denver-Cincinnati game on Stokely's fluke touchdown reception to end the game. Even High School coaches tell their defensive players to "KNOCK IT DOWN"!

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Oakland Raiders +3 at Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland played fairly well against San Diego, and the Chiefs, well, not so much. I look for Oakland to b fairly copetitive throughout the year.

Previous Week's Record: 9-7 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 9-7 (1-0)
Winnings (Losses): 280