Saturday, January 29, 2022

Picks of the Week - Conference Championships

Horrible money weekend, primarily because I made my big bet Tennessee over Cincinnati in the money-line.  So, even though I went 6-0 on Sunday, still lost money for the weekend.  But what a freakin' weekend of games that it was!!!  Now, we have the conference championships.  Picks seem like they should be easy, but is that a copout?  Who knows.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread (and money line and over/under in the playoffs).  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Kansas City Chiefs -7 v. Cincinnati Bengals
This Kansas City offense has been outrageous in the playoffs, averaging 42 points per game, and you have to go back to week 13 to find them scoring less than 28.  Yes, they lost to the Bengals in Week 17, but the Chiefs had already clinched by that point, and the Bengals were fighting for their playoff lives.

Kansas City Chiefs -$350 v. Cincinnati Bengals (Bet $350 to win $100).
The money line on Cincinnati (+$290) is almost enough to make me hedge my bet, but this is Kansas City's third year in a row in the Super Bowl.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs OVER 54 1/2
Kansas City's offense is clicking on all cylinders right now, and even in week 17 when the Chiefs lost, the teams scored 65.

Los Angeles Rams -3 1/2 v. San Francisco 49ers
This is the game that the Rams have been waiting for all season.  They picked up Odell Beckham, Jr. and Von Miller for the Super Bowl, not just for the regular season.  Yes, San Francisco has won 6 in a row against the Rams, but not 7.

Los Angeles Rams -$170 v. San Francisco 49ers
I had the Rams against Kansas City in the Super Bowl since the very beginning of the season.  No reason to change now.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams UNDER 46
I can't pick ALL overs.

Big Bet:
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs OVER 54 1/2
Kansas City's offense is clicking on all cylinders right now, and even in week 17 when the Chiefs lost, the teams scored 65.
This will be a scoring bonanza.

Last Week's Record:  7-5
Playoff Record:  17-12-1
Last Week's Big Bet:  1-1
Playoff Big Bet:  1-1
Year-to-Date Record:  160-141-1
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  9-11
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): ($335)
Playoff's Winnings (Losses):  ($1)
Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): ($341)  

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