Week 7 of the NFL Season, and although last week wasn't a big week, it did end the losing streak (at least as far as winning percentage - damn you big bet). Can this continue? It is not just going to continue, it is going to be a springboard to a bigger week. I can feel it.
My long time readers know how this works, but for everybody else, a reminder. Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will "pretend" that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.
Chicago Bears +7 1/2 at Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams + 2 1/2 v. New York Giants in London
I am taking the points, given that the Giants are 30th in the league in rushing. Hard to win a game against Aaron Donald and Company like that.
Cincinnati Bengals -10 1/2 v. Cleveland Browns
Double digits is hard to give up in an intradivisional game, especially given how hard the Browns are playing right now, but the Bengals are 5th in the league in passing, while Cleveland is 5th from the bottom. Big game for Brandon LaFell today.
Washington Racists +1 at Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions cannot stop the run recently, and somehow, the Racists have developed a significant running attack with Matt Jones. Detroit's mediocre offense is even more difficult given that they have about zero running backs with NFL experience.
Jacksonville Jaguars -2 v. Oakland Raiders
Oakland's defense is absolutely horrible, and although the Jaguars offense has been struggling, this game could be the remedy that Jacksonville needs. It is obvious that T.J. Yeldon is not the answer, but Chris Ivory is getting a bit healthier and stronger, and if the Jaguars can keep the time of possession in the favor, and away from Derek Carr and Amari Cooper, the Jaguars will win. Plus, Oakland is travelling east for an early game.
New Orleans Saints +6 at Kansas City Chiefs
The Saints defense is horrendous, but Kansas City's offense is not good enough to truly take advantage of it. Drew Brees has a 103.1 passer rating this year, leading the NFL's number 1 ranked passing offense (and number 2 ranked total offense). Jamal Charles is back, but is he ever really back?
Miami Dolphins +2 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills
This is the one pick that I am not super confident about, but for some reason I think the Dolphins build on last week's win over the Steelers. Plus, I hate picking road favorites. Not sure who on the Bills can keep up with Jarvis Landry, although the suspect linebackers on the Dolphins will have a tough time with Tyrod Taylor. I'll take the points and hope the game is close, 21-20 maybe.
Baltimore Ravens +1 1/2 at New York Jets
Geno Smith.
Geno Smith.
Philadelphia Eagles Eagles +3 v. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings lead the league in scoring defense, only giving up 12.6 points per game, but the Eagles are fourth in scoring, and are 8th in rushing. If they can keep control of the ball and score early, it would be difficult for the Vikings to come back. Plus, I love when the home team receives points.
Tennessee Titans -3 1/2 v. Indianapolis Colts
Other than yardage, Marcus Mariota is playing as well as Andrew Luck. The Titans defense is strangely good, and the Colts have signed 5 turnstiles as offensive lineman.
Atlanta Falcons -4 1/2 v. San Diego Chargers
Every San Diego game has been close, but Atlanta's offense is completely another level.
Other than yardage, Marcus Mariota is playing as well as Andrew Luck. The Titans defense is strangely good, and the Colts have signed 5 turnstiles as offensive lineman.
Atlanta Falcons -4 1/2 v. San Diego Chargers
Every San Diego game has been close, but Atlanta's offense is completely another level.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 1/2 at San Francisco 49ers
This is exactly the game Jameis Winston needs to break out of a mediocre start to the season. San Francisco is 27th in total defense, and 31st in scoring defense. The only redeeming value for the 49ers is that Tampa Bay cannot run the ball.
This is exactly the game Jameis Winston needs to break out of a mediocre start to the season. San Francisco is 27th in total defense, and 31st in scoring defense. The only redeeming value for the 49ers is that Tampa Bay cannot run the ball.
New England Patriots -7 at Pittsburgh Steelers
Yes, I am taking a road favorite, but I can do that because Landry Jones is starting. What do you think Bill Belichick will have planned for a quarterback that rarely plays? Everything.
Yes, I am taking a road favorite, but I can do that because Landry Jones is starting. What do you think Bill Belichick will have planned for a quarterback that rarely plays? Everything.
Seattle Seahawks +1 at Arizona Cardinals
Arizona has recently feasted on the detritus that is the New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers, but Seattle, at 4-1, is the polar opposite of the Arizona's recent conquests. The Seahawks first overall defense, and third scoring defense, is going to make life difficult for Carson Palmer, David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald.
Houston Texans +9 at Denver Broncos
A really interesting Monday Night matchup. I don't think that Houston is really good enough to beat Denver right now, and both teams defenses are ranked first and second in passing yards allowed, so it will fall on the running backs. It just seems that the Texans trust Lamar Miller more than the Broncos do CJ Anderson.
Arizona has recently feasted on the detritus that is the New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers, but Seattle, at 4-1, is the polar opposite of the Arizona's recent conquests. The Seahawks first overall defense, and third scoring defense, is going to make life difficult for Carson Palmer, David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald.
Houston Texans +9 at Denver Broncos
A really interesting Monday Night matchup. I don't think that Houston is really good enough to beat Denver right now, and both teams defenses are ranked first and second in passing yards allowed, so it will fall on the running backs. It just seems that the Texans trust Lamar Miller more than the Broncos do CJ Anderson.
Big Bet Game of the Week
Atlanta Falcons -4 1/2 v. San Diego Chargers
Every San Diego game has been close, but Atlanta's offense is completely another level.
Every San Diego game has been close, but Atlanta's offense is completely another level.
Last Week's Record: 8-6-1
Last Week's Big Bet: 0-1
Year-to-Date Record: 44-48-2
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 1-5
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): ($25)
Winnings (Losses) Year-to-Date: ($1755)
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