Sunday, September 25, 2011

Picks of the Week



It is time for the "picks of the week". A quick refresher: Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks.

New England Patriots -7 at Buffalo Bills
The Bills and Fitzpatrick are a great story to date, and it is possible that they put up a bunch of points against the Patriots. But it is also probable that they give up a lot more.

Carolina Panthers -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars
Blaine Gabbert is making his first start. Cam Newton is practically a veteran comparatively.

Cincinnati Bengals -2 1/2 v. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is still searching for their quarterback. Cincinnati may have found theirs.

Miami Dolphins +1 1/2 at Cleveland Browns
I really don't know what to make of this game. In that situation, I'll take points and just hope.

Detroit Lions -3 at Minnesota Vikings
The Lions juggernaut continues. Minnesota looked much better in Week 2 than in their opening game, but they are a long way away from competing with Detroit.

New Orleans Saints -3 1/2 v. Houston Texans
New Orleans looks like one of the best 2 or 3 teams in the league right now. Houston is trying to get to that level. They are not quite there ... yet.

New York Giants +8 1/2 v. Philadelphia Eagles
Vick is likely going to play, but how effective is he going to be. Philly is stronger, but I don't think they are 8 1/2 points stronger.

Tennessee Titans -7 v. Denver Broncos
Tennessee rolled the Ravens last week without Chris Johnson doing what Chris Johnson does. I don't know if Johnson will start to heat up, but the Titans look to have more than the Fighting Tebows do.

Green Bay Packers -4 1/2 at Chicago Bears
The Bears could put up a lot of offensive yards against the Packers if they can keep Cutler upright. That is a big IF.

San Diego Chargers -14 v. Kansas City Chiefs
That's a big spread, but Kansas City is without its best offensive (Jamal Charles) and defensive (Eric Berry) players for the season. San Diego is hurting, but most of their questionables should at least give it a go.

Oakland Raiders +3 v. New York Jets
Oakland has played two very close games to start the season. The Jets have not given me any reason to think that this will not be a close one as well.

Atlanta + 1 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta is a much stronger team than the Bucs. They are only getting points because they are on the road. I'll take 'em.

Arizona Cardinals -3 at Seattle Seahawks
Once again - Tarvaris Jackson.

Pittsburgh Steelers -10 1/2 at Indianapolis Colts
Without Peyton Manning, this is a much different team.

Washington Redskins No Line at Dallas Cowboys
Thanks to Romo, there is no official line in this game. But since it is my blog, I am going to count it as a pick 'em. It is still too soon for Rex Grossman to implode.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Baltimore Ravens -5 at St. Louis Rams
The Ravens need a big bounce back after last week's loss to the Titans. They get it here.

Previous Week's Record: 8-7-1
Year to Date: 18-13-1
Big Bet Last Week: 1-0
Big Beat Year to Date: 2-0
Winnings (Losses) Last Week: $180
Winnings (Losses) Year-To-Date: $670

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