Sunday, October 30, 2022

Picks of the Week


A little bit better last week, so trying to creep out of the red.  Hopefully I can use that momentum to have a big week this week.  A good start by winning Thursday's game, and maybe, just maybe, the London early game can help too.  Let's see.  Was in Jacksonville for the Georgia - Florida game, so travelling today, so I probably won't write much analysis.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks...

Baltimore Ravens +2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Good Thursday night win.  Shaq Barrett did the "Ray Lewis Dance" to taunt Baltimore after a sack.  He then proceeded to tear his achilles.

Jacksonville Jaguars -1 1/2 v. Denver Broncos
Somewhere in London, there is a high schooler who cannot understand why Blake Bortles is not still in the league.

Chicago Bears +10 at Dallas Cowboys
Ten points is an awful lot of points in the NFL.  Even though I am sure Dallas wins this game, I will take the points.  I also know the Bears played Monday night, but this is a lot of points.

Minnesota Vikings -4 v. Arizona Cardinals
Arizona's defense lets them down in this one.

Miami Dolphins -4 at Detroit Lions
The third best passing team versus the 22nd ranked pass defense.  Miami will gain a lot of yards in the air.

New Orleans + 1 1/2 v. Las Vegas Raiders
Two exciting offenses, 1 mediocre defense and 1 bad defense.  The bad defense is in Las Vegas.

Atlanta Falcons -3 1/2 v. Carolina Panthers
Carolina's surprise win came last week.

New England Patriots -3 at New York Jets
Is anybody healthy for the Jets offense?  New England is on a short week, but the Jets just have too many injuries.

Pittsburgh Steelers +10 1/2 at Philadelphia Eagles
I don't particularly like this bet, because Philly could ice this game early, but I don't want to bet on a double digit favorite, even if at home (see Cowboys, Dallas).

Tennessee Titans pick 'em at Houston Texans
Derrick Henry versus the NFL's worst run defense.

New York Giants +3 1/2 at Seattle Seahawks
Saquon Barkley verus the number 29th ranked rush defense in th league.

San Francisco 49ers -1 at Los Angeles Rams
The Super Bowl hangover continues.

Washington Commanders +3 at Indianapolis Colts
We do not know what we are going to get with Sam Ehlinger at quarterback, but I would expect some rookie mistakes.

Buffalo Bills -10 1/2 v. Green Bay Packers
This is a lot of points, but you know what, one of the three double digits will probably be covered by the favorite, and I think it will be this one.

Cincinnati Bengals -3 at Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati have won 4 of their last 5, and are just better than Cleveland right now.

Byes:  Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers

Big Bet:

Washington Commanders +3 at Indianapolis Colts
We do not know what we are going to get with Sam Ehlinger at quarterback, but I would expect some rookie mistakes.
I am just wondering how psyched Montez Sweat is to be going against a rookie quarterback in his first start!

Last Week's Record:  7-7
Last Week's Big Bet:  1-0
Year-to-Date Record:  52-51-3
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  4-2-1
Last Week's Winnings (Losses):  $80
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses):  ($360)

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