Thursday, December 11, 2014

Picks



A second really bad week.  Boy has this season turned weird, but honestly, who saw what Carolina did in New Orleans coming?  These two weeks have been really bad to the point that I am really upside down on the season.  Hopefully we can get back on track this week.

As  a reminder, each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. Now, on to the picks.

St. Louis Rams -4 v. Arizona Cardinals
As I have stated a million times before, the visiting team has had a lot of problems on Thursday night, plus the Cardinals have not won on a Thursday since 1948.

Pittsburgh Steelers -2 at Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons offense has been soaring, but Julio Jones is not Julio Jones due to injury, and the Falcons might be grounded.  Roethlisberger, Bell and Brown pick apart Atlanta's defense.

Jacksonville Jaguars +14 at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore wins, but by 2 touchdowns?  I don't think so.

Carolina Panthers -3 1/2 v. Tampa Bay Buccanneers
Perhaps Derek Anderson (starting for the injured Cam Newton) can make the Browns wish he was named the starter for them.  He is 1-0 this year as a starter.

Cincinnati Bengals +1 at Cleveland Browns
I cannot figure out what is going on with the Browns, but Manziel is not going to win his opening game is he?  Never mind, I am changing this.  Cleveland Browns -1 v. Cincinnati Bengals.

Houston Texans + 6 1/2 at Indianapolis Colts
I fully expect Indianapolis to win, but a couple of late drives by the Texans (and Harvard grad Ryan Fitzpatrick) covers the spread.

Oakland Raiders +10 at Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland is playing its best football of the season, and Jamal Charles is hobbling.  I will definitely take the points, but this could end up being an upset.

New England Patriots -7 1/2 v. Miami Dolphins
The Patriots are cruising, and this game could crush the Dolphins' playoff chances.

New York Giants -6 1/2 v. Washington Whatever Their Name is Going to Be
Washington is a mess, and the Giants are not playing awful.

Denver Broncos -4 at San Diego Chargers
Denver's newly found running game makes it the most dangerous offense in the league, and the toughest for which to prepare.

Tennessee Titans +2 1/2 v. New York Jets
Horrible game.  I pick Tennessee because they are at home and because I want to type "Mettenberger".

Detroit Lions -7 1/2 v. Minnesota Vikings
The Lions keep cruising along.

Seattle Seahawks -10 v. San Francisco 49ers
The Seahawks now look like the team that won the Super Bowl last year, and the 49ers look like a team that won the Super Bowl in 1984, if all of those players were still on the roster 30 years later.

Dallas Cowboys +3 at Philadelphia Eagles
This could be an old-fashioned barn burner.  I will take all the points I can find.

Chicago Bears +3 at New Orleans
I have no idea why, but both of these teams have to be the two biggest disappointments in the league this year.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Green Bay Packers -4 1/2 at Buffalo Bills
The Bills played the Broncos to within 1 touchdown, but the Broncos offense has changed tremendously.  I don't expect the Packers to have much trouble in Buffalo.


Last Week: 5-10-1
Year-to-Date: 106-96-4
Big Bet Last Week: 0-1
Big Bet Year to Date: 6-8
Winnings (Losses) Last Week: ($765)
Winnings (Losses) Year to Date: ($605)

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