Thursday, December 18, 2014

Picks of the Week



An OK week, but not enough to get me out of the red for the season.  The end of this year has been ridiculous.  I  mean, really, a 12-6 game with no touchdowns?  Crazy.

As  a reminder, each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. Now, on to the picks.

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 1/2 v. Tennessee Titans
Who would have ever thought that the Jaguars would be favored, even at home.  Well that happens when this year's Titans come to town.  "I will take Jacksonville and give up points", is not something anyone has said in the last 6 years.

Philadelphia Eagles -7 1/2 at Washington Whatever their Name is Going to Be
The dreaded road favorite, but Washington is still in shambles and Chip Kelly will have the Eagles - who are playing for their playoff lives - rolling.

San Francisco 49ers pick 'em v. San Diego Chargers
San Francisco trying to stay alive for the playoffs, although it will take a miracle.  I just think Phillip Rivers is hurting, or something else is not quite right with him.  Of course, San Francisco is a high speed train wreck themselves.

Minnesota Vikings + 6 1/2 at Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins seemed like playoff contenders just a few weeks ago, but now, they look like they cannot get out of their own way.

Carolina Panthers no line v. Cleveland Browns
Most likely no line due to Cam Newton's unknown status.  Thus, I will be picking this one straight up - and taking Carolina and their experienced quarterback (whether it be Newton or Anderson) over what I saw last week from Manziel.

Detroit Lions - 9 at Chicago Bears
Forget the regular rules about road favorites as the Bears stink at home, and they stink in general.  They have given up.

Baltimore Ravens -5 1/2 at Houston Texans 
Are the Texans going to be starting their 4th or 5th string quarterback?

New Orleans Saints -6 v. Atlanta Falcons
Yes last week's win was against the Bears, but the Falcons likewise have no defense, will either be playing without Julio Jones or with a hobbled Julio Jones, and I trust Sean Payton in a big game.

New England Patriots -10 at New York Jets
This is my week of road favorites.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 v. Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh - despite losing to Tampa Bay and the Jets, clinches a playoff spot with a win.

Green Bay Packers -10 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Just kill me now.  There is no way I have a good week this week.

New York Giants +6 at St. Louis Rams
This could be a 9-7 type of game.

Indianapolis Colts +3 at Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys really need Demarco Murray.  This could be a 49-47 type of game.

Buffalo Bills -6 at Oakland Raiders
The Bills are on a bit of a roll.

Seattle Seahawks -7 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals
Ryan Lindley has never thrown an NFL touchdown.

Denver Broncos -3 at Cincinnati Bengals
Well, I might as well go all the way picking road teams.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 1/2 v. Tennessee Titans
Who would have ever thought that the Jaguars would be favored, even at home.  Well that happens when this year's Titans come to town.  "I will take Jacksonville and give up points", is not something anyone has said in the last 6 years.


Last Week: 7-8-1
Year-to-Date: 113-104-5
Big Bet Last Week: 0-1
Big Bet Year to Date: 6-9
Winnings (Losses) Last Week: ($345)
Winnings (Losses) Year to Date: ($950)

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