Sunday, November 3, 2013

Picks of the Week

Welcome to our Picks of the Week.  For a quick refresher on the procedures behind my picks (for those that are new - this will be new): Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks.

Cincinnati Bengals -3 at Miami Dolphins
Already over, but I still lost.

Kansas City Chiefs -3 1/2 at Buffalo Bills
Road favorites are always tough, but c'mon - Jeff Tuel?

Carolina Panthers -7 1/2 v. Atlanta Falcons
Yes it may be because of injuries, but it is time that we see that the Falcons just are not very good this year.

Dallas Cowboys -9 1/2 v. Minnesota Vikings
The Cowboys, albeit shaky, are explosive on offense.  Other than Adrian Peterson, the Vikings are not.

New York Jets +6 v. New Orleans Saints
The Saints are not very good on the road, and the Jets defense is very good.  Could keep this game close, so I will take the points.

Tennessee Titans +3 at St. Louis Rams
Teams are 0-this year in covering the spread (and straight up even) the week after playing the Seahawks.

Oakland Raiders -1 1/2 v. Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles are in a complete tailspin.  LeSean McCoy was the NFL MVP for the first quarter of the year, but the team has plummeted since Vick's injuries.

Seattle Seahawks -14 1/2 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I cannot wait for that Tampa Bay - Jacksonville game to determine the worst in the league.  (They don't play each other - so no worries).

Cleveland Browns +2 v. Baltimore Ravens
Division games among not great teams are usually close, so I will take the points at home.

New England Patriots -6 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is just not very good, and the Patriots are starting to get healthy.

Houston Texans +2 v. Indianapolis Colts
The Texans gain a lot of yards per play.  Eventually that is going to turn into points.  The Colts may win, but this game should be close.

Chicago Bears +10 at Green Bay Packers
This is not a homer pick at all.  The only times the Bears beat Aaron Rodgers is on Monday nights.  I do not need the Bears to win this game, I need them to keep it in single digits.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

San Diego Chargers +1 at Washington Redskins
The Redskins pass defense is horrific, and Phillip Rivers seems rejuvenated.  With Danny Woodhead as an outlet receiver, Rivers does not have to force the ball into traffic anymore on the outside, keeping drives alive.

Year to Date: 48-51-3
Big Beat Year to Date: 5-3
Winnings (Losses) Year-To-Date: ($385)

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