Sunday, February 3, 2013

Nevermore

Just to get my pics on record.

San Francisco 49ers to win.  Baltimore Ravens to cover.  Under.

Why?  Let me tell you.

First, San Francisco 49ers' vaunted defense has been relatively pedestrian lately.  Aldon Smith, he of the 19 sacks, has only had one since Justin Smith got hurt.  If Justin Smith isn't effective, San Fran might have trouble getting to the quarterback.  If Flacco has time, either Torrey Smith or Anquan Boldin could get open deep, or Dennis Pitta can run away from Willis or Bowman when they are back in coverage.

That being said, I think that San Francisco is overall too talented. and I think they will move the ball on Baltimore.  There are three reasons that Ray Lews leads the NFL in tackles this postseason:  1.  He is playing great; 2.  The Ravens defense has not gotten off the field early in drives, meaning opposing offenses have been taking a lot of snaps; and 3.  Running backs have been getting passed the Ravens defensive line and Lewis's tackles are occuring 5 to 7 yards from the line of scrimmage.

Given the stats above, and with all of the talk about whether or not the Ravens can contain Kapernick, I think Frank Gore could have a great game.

For San Francisco's sake, I do hope it does not come down to a late field goal for Akers.  This has not been his year.

No comments:

Post a Comment