Well, not a great start to the NFL season, but finished in the black in Week 1, and I will take that every week. Plus, I got a good start to week 2 by ignoring the standard betting rules, who knew? I didn't think that Tua would be conucssed, but I did think Buffalo would roam all over the Dolphins. Let's see if I can keep that momentum up!!!
For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread. I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100. Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler. On to the picks.
Buffalo Bills +2 1/2 at Miami Dolphins
Yes, we are supposed to take the home team on a short week, but Buffalo had beated Miami 13 out of 15 times, and with Dolphins' running backs Raheem Mostert (out) and Devan Achane (questionable) injured, who is going to run the ball for the Dolpins?
New Orleans Saints +6 at Dallas Cowboys
Caution - this is likely an overreaction to Week 1, where New Orleans had the best peformance of any team. But, maybe they are better than we thought and they can keep this one close? Dallas is going to have problems running the ball this year, so I think the Saints could cover.
Baltimore Ravens - 8 1/2 v. Las Vegas Raiders
The way the Ravens played in week 1, they beat alomost everyone not named Kansas City. That and with thh Raiders being in the Pacific time zone and travelling east for the 1:00 game, I'll take Baltimore, even though I would have liked this spread to be 6 1/2 points.
Washington Commanders -1 1/2 v. New York Giants
Jayden Daniels' potential makes this game tolerable.
Carolina Panthers +5 v. Los Angeles Chargers
I HATE this bet. HATE IT, HATE IT, HATE IT! But, I already violated the betting rule on Thursday by taking the visiting team on a short week, no way I can do it twice. This rule is always take the east coast team in the 1:00 time slot when playing a Pacific coast team traveling east.
Indianapolis Coltes -2 1/2 at Green Bay Packers
My first road favorite, UGH! But, we know what we are getting with Anthony Richardson. Some mediocre throws, a low completion percentage, but some WOW plays. We also know what we are getting with the Packers - Malik Willis!
San Francisco 49ers -4 1/2 at Minnesota Vikings
The 49ers placed Christian McCaffrey on injured reserve, but as we saw last week, Jordan Mason is more than capable of stepping into the lead back roll. Minnesota played really well last week, and Sam Darnold looked GREAT! But, that San Francisco defense is something else. Look ma, a second straight road favorite. It's a good thing Minnesota is only in the central time zone.
Jacksonville Jaguars -3 v. Cleveland Browns
Both teams looked rather inept offensively last week. The difference is that Jacksonville has players that are more likely to show last week was a fluke.
New England Patriots +3 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
Taking an east coast home underdog playing a Pacific time zone team, YES PLEASE! But, that makes three this week, so odds are I lose one of them - probably Carolina.
Tennessee Titans +4 v. New York Jets
Jordan Mason and the San Francisco 49ers just ran through the supposedly vaunted Jets defensive front 7. I bet Tennessee wishes they still had Derrick Henry! That being said, the Jets offense did not look so great, either, and the Titans defense looked strong. Granted, it was against the Bears inept offense, but part of their ineptness was the defense played by Tennessee. I don't know if they will win outright, but this game should be close.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 at Detroit Lions
The Lions are REALLY, REALLY good. But, don't underestimate Tampa Bay. I feel like Baker Mayfield has been underestimated his whole career and always rises to the challenge. Eight points is way too high of a line for this game.
Los Angeles Rams pick 'em at Arizona Cardinals
Vegas has this one right in that this game could go either way. Both defenses were bad last week, but the Rams offense seems smoother, as Arizona still is trying to incorporate rookie Marvin Harrison, Jr. For that reason, I'll take Arizona.
Denver Broncos +2 1/2 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver cannot play as bad as they did last week, right? I do believe, however, that Pittsburgh can. Steelers 21-20.
Kansas City Chiefs -6 1/2 v. Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City already looks in mid-season form. J'Marr Chase has called off contract extension talks, meaning it is likely he hits free agency.
Houston Texans -6 v. Chicago Bears
The Bears offense looked atrocious. At least their defense looked amazing. But, Houston is much better than Tennessee offensively, so I don't think this is going to be close.
Philadelphia Eagles -6 v. Atlanta Falcons
Kirk Cousins is notoriously bad in prime time games, and he was already bad last week. When do the "Michael Penix, Jr." chants start? Philly looked good last week.
Big Bet:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 at Detroit Lions
The Lions are REALLY, REALLY good. But, don't underestimate Tampa Bay. I feel like Baker Mayfield has been underestimated his whole career and always rises to the challenge. Eight points is way too high of a line for this game.
The bet here should be Houston, but I cannot do that to myself. I will take 8 points, and take them happily.
Record
Last Week's Record: 8-7-1
Last Week's Big Bet: 1-0
Year-to-Date Record: 8-7-1
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 1-0
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $180
Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): $180
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