My head is still spinning from the tumultuous Space Force - Coast Guard college game last night. If you don't know - ask me about it. Hope I can get that conversation out of my head and concentrate on today's game to keep up my winning streak, as last week was very good!!!
For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread. I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100. Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler. On to the picks...
Los Angeles Rams + 6 1/2 at Las Vegas Raiders
Baker Mayfield comeback notwithstanding, home team on a short week wins again.
Pittsburgh Steelers -2 v. Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh has won 3 of its last 4, and Baltimore is without Lamar Jackson. Pittsburgh has been playing a lot better since T.J. Watt returned.
Minnesota Vikings +2 1/2 at Detroit Lions
This line is utterly ridiculous, and it seems way too obvious to pick the Vikings. Not quite sure why I am doing it then, but, I have to.
Jacksonville Jaguars +3 at Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville is better offensively than the Titans (11th to 29th), and even in rushing (10th to 15th), and exactly the same defensively (both T25th overall). Sounds like I will take the points in what should be a close game.
Philadelphia Eagles -7 at New York Giants
The third overall offense and the 2nd overall defense versus the Giants, who are in the bottom third of each. Philly rolls.
New York Jets +10 at Buffalo Bills
Double digits is a big spread against a team that has recently made a dramatic upgrade at quarterback in Mike White, and which beat the Bills just over a mvonth ago.
Cincinnati Bengals -5 v. Cleveland Browns
DeShaun Watson looked pedestrian against the Texans last week. Another week of practice should help, but playing the Bengals will not. Joe Burrow leads a Cincinnati team that is 4th in passing to a bunch of scores.
Houston Texans +17 1/2 at Dallas Cowboys
I really want to take the Cowboys here just to say I did, but if I lost because Houston covers, I would be kicking myself. If I lose this bet as it stands, I still stand by my bet.
Kansas City Chiefs -8 1/2 at Denver Broncos
The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring, whereas Denver doesn't score. This might be a bit too many points for a divisional rival, though, so I don't feel safe with this one.
San Francisco 49ers -3 1/2 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Brock Purdy looked pretty good last week, but more importantly, Tampa Bay played Monday night.
Seattle Seahawks -3 1/2 v. Carolina Panthers
I bet Carolina wishes they had a quarterback as good as Geno Smith. Hell, I bet they wish they had a quarterback as good as Baker Mayfield.
Miami Dolphins -3 1/2 at Los Angeles Chargers
I wonder how the travel of the last two weeks affects the Dolphins (they played at San Francisco last week). They are still better than the Chargers and their 27th ranked defense, so the Dolphins' 4th ranked total offense should move the ball and score.
New England Patriots -1 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals
I honestly cannot believe I am giving up points here, but the Patriots are on a two-game losing streak, and who thinks Belichick loses three in a row? Also, the Patriots defense is solid (7th in total defense, T7th in scoring defense), whereas Arizona is next-to-last in giving up points.
Byes: Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, New Orleans Saints, Washington Commanders
Big Bet:
Minnesota Vikings +2 1/2 at Detroit Lions
This line is utterly ridiculous, and it seems way too obvious to pick the Vikings. Not quite sure why I am doing it then, but, I have to.
This pick literally pains me, as I have been a huge proponent of betting on the Lions, but, in this case they are giving up points. In the 1:p.m. game slot, the Noon Nightmare strikes again.
Last Week's Record: 9-6
Last Week's Big Bet: 1-0
Year-to-Date Record: 96-91-6
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 7-4-2
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $390
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses): ($240)
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