Sunday, October 24, 2021

Picks of the Week



WooHoo!!!  Fantastic week!  Only two consecutive losses on Sunday night and Monday night kept this from being astronomically huge!!!!  See if we can make three winning weeks in a row!!!  Not much analysis as I am doing this late Saturday night due to the fact that I am 4 hours behind my normal Eastern Time Zone, so NFL starts at 9:00 a.m. for me tomorrow.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereasv, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Denver Broncos + 1 1/2 at Cleveland Browns
I thought that all of the injuries to Cleveland would make a difference, but nope, the home team on a short week strikes again.

Carolina Panthers -3 at New York Giants
Carolina's defense is the difference, as they are 3rd in total defense and 6th in scoring defense.  The Giants best defensive stat is that they rank 20th in 3rd down conversion percentage.

Atlanta Falcons -2 at Miami Dolphins
Great - two consecutive visiting favorites.  Ugh.  But Atlanta is well-rested.

Green Bay Packers -8 1/2 v. Washington Football Team
Would feel more comfortable with 6 1/2 points, but Washington's defense, ranked 30th in total defense and 32nd in scoring defense, is in for an onslaught.  (Seriously, another road favorite?)
  
Baltimore Ravens -6 1/2 v. Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati's defense has played great this year, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired.  I finally get to select a home team!

New England Patriots -7 v. New York Jets
Keep the home streak rolling (+New England is my survivor pool pick!)

Kansas City Chiefs -4 at Tennessee Titans
Kansas City may have turned the corner last week, but they only have the 27th best rushing defense to try to stop Derrick Henry.  But, Tennessee is on a short week.

Chicago Bears +11 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Way too many points considring all of the injuries to Tampa Bay.

Los Angeles Rams -16 v. Detroit Lions
This line is ridiculous, but most lines that look way to high, sometimes coas too many people into thaking the underdog.  Not for me on this game.

Las Vegas Raiders -3 at Philadelphia Eagles
Great playing by the Raiders last week.  They keep it rolling this week.

Arizona Cardinals -18 v. Houston Texans
The Texans are AWFUL!

Indianapolis Colts +3 1/2 at San Francisco 49ers
Indianapolis keeps this one close.

New Orleans Saints -4 1/2 at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle wasn't playing all that well with Russell Wilson in the lineup.  Now, they are worse.  Will Jacob Eason gets some run.

Big Bet

Las Vegas Raiders -3 at Philadelphia Eagles
Great playing by the Raiders last week.  They keep it rolling this week.
The Raiders return home without Jon Gruden.  Good for them!

Bye Week:  Buffalo Bills, Dallas Cowboys, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers

Last Week's Record:  10-4
Last Week's Big Bet:  1-0
Year-to-Date Record:  52-42
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  1-5
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $710
Year to Date Winnings (Losses):  ($95)

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