The divisional round was fantastic for us, which is a good thing because I do not know if I can really figure out the conference championship games. Of course, we will give it a shot and hope for the best. Seriously, this is about the best final four matchups for which we could have hoped in terms of quality teams and great matchups. Going to be a great football day!!!
For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread. I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100. Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler. On to the picks...
San Francisco 49ers +3 at Philadelphia Eagles
A dynamic matchup between the 6th and 3rd highest scoring offenses, and the 1st and 4th best defenses. Strength versus strength with Piladelphia being the 5th best rushing offense and San Franciso being the best overall defense, and 2nd best against the run. Jalen Hurts is the difference here, as Brock Purdy - who has done an admirable job - is still just a rookie. But, given that, I still think this game will be close, so I will take the points. West coast team traveling east, but this game is not being played in the 1:00 time slot, so I will still take the points.
Philadelphia Eagles -155 v. San Francisco 49ers (Bet $155 to win $100)
As stated above, Jalen Hurts is going to be the difference here, and will not make the key mistake(s) that Purdy will.
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 45
Two of the better defenses in the NFL, and a rookie quarterback make for an interesting under bet.
Cincinnati Bengals +2 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs
Another great matchup pitting high-scoring teams (7th and 1st) against each other. Cincinnati's defense is 5th best in scoring defense, and Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are both less than 100%. Given these facts, and the fact that Joe Burrow just knows how to win, I am going to take the points.
Cincinnati Bengals +115 at Kansas City Chiefs
I am going to take a Joe Burrow at 100% with J'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and Hayden Hurst over a hobbled Patrick Mahomes with Juju Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mecole Hardman, Skyy Moore, Kadarius Toney, and a hobbled Travis Kelce.
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiegs OVER 48
I expect a shootout!!!
Big Bet:
Cincinnati Bengals +2 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs
Another great matchup pitting high-scoring teams (7th and 1st) against each other. Cincinnati's defense is 5th best in scoring defense, and Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are both less than 100%. Given these facts, and the fact that Joe Burrow just knows how to win, I am going to take the points.
If I expect Cincinnati to win, then the fact that they are getting points must mean I should make this my big bet.
Last Week's Record: 8-4
Last Week's Big Bet: 1-0
Year-to-Date Record: 153-131-9-1
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 11-7-2
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $620
Playoff Winnings (Losses): $1,084.50
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses): $1,229.50
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