The fantastic Wildcard Wekeend continued with a 6-2 week in the Divisional Round, including winning both big bets!!! Cannot do much better than that! An amazing playoff run that I hoop continues through Conference Championship Weekend. Either way, this looks like it will be some great football watching today. Who to bet on? Let's see!
For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread. I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100. Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler. On to the picks.
Kansas City Chiefs + 4 1/2 at Baltimore Ravens
There is a legitimate chance that the Chiefs could win this game outright, so might as well take the points, right? That, and Patrick Mahomes is 9-1-1 against the spread in his playoffs career. I still expect the Ravens to win the game though, based on the fact that Buffalo easily sliced through the Chiefs defense, exposing what was the thrid best defense in the NFL - and Baltimore is a much better offense than Kansas City.
Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens OVER 43 1/2
I expect this to be a 50+ point game, despite the fact that these two teams are first (Baltimore) and second (Kansas City) in the NFL in points allowed.
San Francisco 49ers -7 1/2 v. Detroit Lions
A lot of focus will be on the fact that both teams are tough against the run - with Detroit finishing second in the NFL and San Francisco finishing third, but the Lions are much worse against the pass (27th in the NFL) and Deebo Samuel is playing this week to give San Francisco that extra weapon for Detroit to try to stop.
Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers UNDER 52 1/2
Honestly, I do not feel strongly either way on this. Some sustained drives might limit possessions, keeping the score low - but just a guess.
Big Bet:
Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens OVER 43 1/2
I expect this to be a 50+ point game, despite the fact that these two teams are first (Baltimore) and second (Kansas City) in the NFL in points allowed.
Both offenses should be in full effect in this game. I honestly expected the O/U to be around 47 to 48, so I will take the OVER.
Record
Last Week's Record: 6-2
Last Week's Big Bet: 1-0
Playoffs' Record: 15-5
Playoffs' Big Bet: 3-0
Year-to-Date Record: 159-119-14
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 10-11
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $680
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $680
Playoffs' Winnings (Losses): $1,550
Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): $2,645
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