Picks of the Week

 

11-3!!!  Against the spread.  That is all I am going to say!

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereas, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Chicago Bears -3 v. Carolina Panthers

Home team, short week, tie.  Ugh!

Indianapolis Colts -1 1/2 v. New England Patriots (Frankfurt, Germany)

Colts offense too much for the Patriots.  Hate that this is the 9:30 game, as I don't want to watch it.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 1/2 v. Green Bay Packers

The Packers are just not good.  Steelers statistics are well below their record, but they just make the plays when then need to do so - especially on defense - and Diontae Johnson could have a field day without Jaire Aleaxander.

New Orleans Saints -3 at Minnesota Vikings

Since this isn't an intra-divisional game, I don't mind giving up a few points on the road. Josh Dobbs was a great story last week, but now he actually has time to plan, prepare and think about the gameplan - and sometimes that can hurt a team.  Honestly this is going to come down to if Minnesota can run or not, and they are 29th in the league, so that answer is no.

Houston Texans +6 at Cincinnati Bengals

This might be the most enjoyable game of the week.  Taking the points despite the fact that the Bengals have been playing awesome football lately because J'Marr Chase, if he plays, will be limited by a back injury and Tee Higgins has already been ruled out.  Grab Tyler Boyd for your fantasy team!

Baltimore Ravens -6 1/2 v. Cleveland Browns

Yes, it is hard to move the ball, much less score against Cleveland's defense, but, the Ravens give up less points (13.8 to 17.4), and Cleveland is missing its top 3 tackles.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 v. Tennessee Titans

I do not like this line AT ALL.  Either way.  I guess I'll take the home team.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3 v. San Francisco 49ers

Taking the east coast team against the west coast team in the 1:00 slot game.

Detroit Lions -3 v. Los Angeles Chargers

A lot of points are going to be scored here, and I will definitely be watching.  Chargers defense is 31st in total defense and last in passing defense. Jared Goff goes off.

Atlanta Falcons -2 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals

I don't know what to make of this game because we just don't know how rusty Kyler Murray will be.  And, Arthur Smith at some point has to learn he can use Bijan Robinson, right?

Washington Commanders +6 at Seattle Seahawks

A battle of two teams that are both way better than people expect, and possibly even better than their records.  I'll take the points, as I think this should have been about a 2 1/2 or 3 point spread.

Dallas Cowboys -17 1/2 v. New York Giants

This is the most ridiculous line I have seen in a long, long time in an NFL game.  So, why not?  The only think that concerns me is if Tommy DeVito has some mobbed up relatives that are betting a lot on the Giants.

Las Vegas Raiders +1 v. New York Jets

Honestly, who care about this game?  Raiders win big.  Plus, Jets played Monday night.

Buffalo Bills -7 v. Denver Broncos

I don't like this line either.  Would be just as angry in picking the Broncos.  In this situation, I will take the home team and the team I feel is just more likely to win the game.

Bye Week:  Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, Miami Dolphins, Philadelphia Eagles

Big Bet:

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 1/2 v. Green Bay Packers

The Packers are just not good.  Steelers statistics are well below their record, but they just make the plays when then need to do so - especially on defense - and Diontae Johnson could have a field day without Jaire Aleaxander.

Sometimes you do have to take the game that you think is the obvious pick.

Last Week's Record:  11-3

Last Week's Big Bet:  0-1

Year-to-Date Record:  75-54-7

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  5-4
Last Week's Winnings (Losses):  $605

Year to Date's Winnings (Losses): $1,650