Picks of the Week

So, as it turns out, November 2021 has been the worst football betting month ever.  Like seriously.  Vegas doesn't care who wins games ordinarily, because they want the lines to be so accurate that there is similar amounts of money on both sides.  Vegas then wins with the vig.  However, a larger percentage of NFL bets were lost last month than ever before.  Makes sense, as November has ruined my year.

I have a busy morning, so just short analysis, if at all.  For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereasv, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Dallas Cowboys -6 1/2 at New Orleans Saints

Good start to the weekend.

Chicago Bears +7 1/2 v. Arizona Cardinals

The Bears have no chance to win this game, but with Andy Dalton, they can keep it ugly and close, especially if Kyler Murran is rusty in his return.

New York Jets +5 v. Philadelphia Eagles

Another close game so I'll take the points at home.  Can the Jets put up a winning streak?

Indianapolis Colts -10 at Houston Texans

After being demoralized by losing to the Jets last week, look for the Texans to just pull up camp and phone it in for the rest of the season.  (I love mixed metaphors!)  Plus, road double digit favorites in division is usually a horrible bet, except everything has gone against script this year.

Cincinnati Bengals -2 1/2 v. Los Angeles Chargers

OK, so I will follow the rules here by taking the home team against the west coast team travelling east and playing the early game.  Plus, Cincinnati has the number 6 scoring offense, and the number 6 scoring defense in the NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10 1/2 at Atlanta Falcons

Why not 2 double digit visiting intra-divisional favorites.  (Can you tell I am just grasping at straws here?)

Miami Dolphins -6 1/2 v. New York Giants

Mike Glennon.  Seriously, Mike Glennon.  Plus a four-game winning streak for the Dolphins.

Detroit Lions +7 v. Minnesota Vikings

Both teams like to keep games close.

Los Angeles Rams -13 v. Jacksonville Jaguars

If the Rams are going to turn this season around, showcase the Super Bowl form everyone expected, AND stop their three-game slide, it is this game.  I do not like the 13 points, though.

Las Vegas Raiders -1 1/2 v. Washington Football Team

Simply because they are the home team.  Literally no other reason.

Baltimore Ravens -4 at Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers should move on from Ben Roethlisberger.  Not after this year, but now.

San Francisco 49ers -3 at Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco is simply a better team.  Seattle is 31st in total offense AND 31st in total defense.  Not a good recipe for success.

Kansas City Chiefs -9 v. Denver Broncos

Kansas City seems to have righted the ship after some mid-season doldrums.  They are looking for their 12th straight victory over the Broncos.

New England Patriots +3 at Buffalo Bills

Buffalo is 3-3 in their last 6, whereas Belichick has the Patriots rolling.  Does anybody out there not think Belichick can keep this close?  I am so looking forward to this game, by the way.

Big Bet

Miami Dolphins -6 1/2 v. New York Giants

Mike Glennon.  Seriously, Mike Glennon.  Plus a four-game winning streak for the Dolphins.

All hail King Tuanigamanuolepola Tagovailoa!

Bye Week:  

Last Week's Record:  8-7

Last Week's Big Bet:  0-1
Year-to-Date Record:  92-88

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  4-8
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): ($135)

Year to Date's Winnings (Losses):  ($1,200)