Picks of the Week

As bad as November was, I will take a small winning week to start December.  Here's hoping that can continue and grow throughout the month.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereasv, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Pittsburgh Steelers +3 1/2 at Minnesota Vikings

In the battle of the teams not good enough to beat Detroit, Minnesota just didn't collaps enough at the end.

Baltimore Ravens +3 at Cleveland Browns

In a game that should be close, and be won by the running game (Baltimore and Cleveland tied for 3rd in rushing offense, Baltimore tied for 1st in rushing defense), I'll take the points.

Washington Football Team +4 1/2 v. Dallas Cowboys

Washington's defense is starting to live up to how we thought they would play, after being a total farce to start the season.  Given that scenario, I'll also take the points, especially at home.

Kansas City Chiefs -10 v. Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders are 1-4 since their bye, and the Chiefs are not only on a 5 game winning streak, they are also starting to look like a potential Super Bowl team.  Lots points in a rivalry game, but I'll gladly give them here.

Houston Texans +9 v. Seattle Seahawks

Seatlle has the 31st ranked defense, whereas Houston is not much better (29th).  Just taking the points here, honestly.

Tennessee Titans -8 v. Jacksonville Jaguars

The noise coming out of Jacksonville regarding the players disdain for Urban Meyer is deafening.  Too bad this didn't come out before USC and Notre Dame made coaching hires.

New Orleans Saints -5 1/2 at New York Jets

I honestly cannot figure out this game.  Picking New Orleans simply because I am hoping Alvin Kamara comes back and makes a huge difference.  Otherwise, I would stay away from this game.

Carolina Panthers -2 1/2 v. Atlanta Falcons

Another tough game to select.  Taking Carolina on thebasis of their defense (2nd in total defense, 2nd in passing defense, 5th in 3rd down percentage defense, and 7th in scoring defense.)

Detroit Lions + 11 1/2 at Denver Broncos

Detroit has played a lot of tough, close games.  No reason to think they cannot do that here also.

Los Angeles Chargers -9 1/2 v. New York Giants

Mike Glennon.

Cincinnati Bengals +1 1/2 v. San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco has overwhelmingly relied upon the rush this season.  Cincinnati is 4th in rushing defense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills

The Jeckyll and Hyde Bills strike again, although even in wins they seem to struggle recently (except against the Jets.)

Chicago Bears +11 1/2 at Green Bay Packers

Honestly, if this spread was 9 1/2 I would take the Packers.  Chicago back-door covers.

Los Angeles Rams +2 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals

Definitely the game of the week.  A great Monday night affair.  Sony Michel makes a ton of difference for the Rams, bolstering their 6th ranked offense (but 23rd in rushing).  Arizona is rolling, but not sure we can learn much from playing the Bears last week.

Big Bet

Washington Football Team +4 1/2 v. Dallas Cowboys

Washington's defense is starting to live up to how we thought they would play, after being a total farce to start the season.  Given that scenario, I'll also take the points, especially at home.

I also thought about taking Baltimore.

Bye Week:  Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles

Last Week's Record:  8-6

Last Week's Big Bet:  1-0
Year-to-Date Record:  100-94

Big Bet Year-to-Date:  5-8
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $290

Year to Date's Winnings (Losses):  ($910)