My long time readers know how this works, but for everybody else, a reminder. Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will "pretend" that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler. On to the picks.
Once again, taking the home team on a short week pays off, but this time with the added bonus of doing it against a Jacksonville team "led" by Cody Kessler.
Buffalo Bills -4 1/2 v. New York Jets
Buffalo has basically been playing with Josh Allen behind center, even if he is doing it with his legs much more than his arm. The Jets and their rookie quarterback have yet to jell this season.
Carolina Panthers -1 at Cleveland Browns
I really wanted to take Cleveland here, but Carolina really needs this win to get back in the playoff hunt, and to end their four-game losing streak.
Green Bay Packers -3 1/2 v. Atlanta Falcons
To be fair, nobody has any idea how the Packers are going to react to the firing of head coach Mike McCarthy and Assistant Head Coach/Defensive Coordinator Winston Moss after last week's loss. So, my guess is that Aaron Rodgers tries to validate the firing with a huge game.
Indianapolis Colts +4 at Houston Texans
Can the Texans win their 10th game in a row? Of course they can, and I suspect they will. But, Indianapolis is going to make this tough for them and will score quite a bit of points themselves. Maybe a repeat of week 4's 37-34 Texans win will cover the spread. Of course, if the Colts break the winning streak then they will win this beat too, so I am going Colts.
Baltimore Ravens -6 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs
The Ravens defense is first overall in total defense and points allowed, second in passing defense and third in rushing defense. I am not saying they will stop the Chiefs, but they will make it harder for them to score. Plus, with the newly found rushing attack behind rookies Gus Edwards and Lamar Jackson, the Ravens will try to control the clock.
Miami Dolphins +9 v. New England Patriots
For some reason, the Dolphins always have a trick or two for the Patriots when they come to Miami.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 v. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans keeps cruising, but the intra-divisional rival Tampa Bay makes it tough for the Saints. Do not expect a repeat of the week 1 Bucs victory, especially with Ryan Fitzpatrick on the bench.
New York Giants -3 at Washington Racists
I feel like their is an opportunity for me or my friends to play quarterback for Washington this year. Marcus, are you available if they need you?
Los Angeles Chargers -15 v. Cincinnati Bengals
This is a ridiculous line, and nobody in their right mind would ever select any NFL giving 15 points ... unless they were playing against Jeff Driskel. Can somebody say collusion?
Denver Broncos -3 at San Francisco 49ers
I hate taking road favorites, but I have to do so here. The 49ers are going nowhere fast, and Denver, believe it or not, has an opportunity to still make the playoffs.
Detroit Lions -3 at Arizona Cardinals
Detroit is not good, but I feel that they at least give themselves opportunities to win. Despite being the proverbial straw that broke Mike McCarthy's back, Arizona has not shown us much of anything this year. I'll take Detroit.
Dallas Cowboys -3 v. Philadelphia Eagles
Both of these teams would love to knock the other one down a peg. A win by Philadelphia puts them in a tie for first in the NFC East. A win by Dallas virtually assures Philadelphia of missing the playoffs. Plus, Dallas has been a completely different team since the acquisition of Amari Cooper. Philadelphia is not the same team as last year's Super Bowl winners.
Pittsburgh Steelers -10 at Oakland Raiders
Is it possible that Roethlisberger throws for 500 yards? I think so. In the past 5 years, double digit favorites have covered almost 60% of the time, so I will take a chance on the Steelers (as well as the Chargers).
Chicago Bears +3 v. Los Angeles Rams
Just a gut feeling.Not saying the Bears win, but this game is shaping up to be very interesting. We all know about the Rams offense (2nd in points, 2nd overall, 4th in rushing and passing), but the Rams defense has been markedly pedestrian, (17th in passing defense, 18th in rushing defense and total defense, and 19th in points allowed). They will give up yards and points to Chicago. Chicago is 5th in points scored and 5th in points allowed. They are second in rush defense, so Todd Gurley might find yards tough to come by in Soldier Field.
Seattle Seahawks -3 v. Minnesota Vikings
An incredibly important NFC battle for both squads trying to jockey for widcard position. For those who have not been paying attention, Russell Wilson has been playing out-of-his-mind!!!! I'll take Russell Wilson.
Big Bet
New York Giants -3 at Washington Racists
I feel like their is an opportunity for me or my friends to play quarterback for Washington this year. Marcus, are you available if they need you?
Saquon Barkley is coming into his own, so even though the Giants are on the road and giving up points, that shouldn't be a problem against..... who is it again? Oh yeah ... Mark Sanchez.
Last Week's Record: 9-7
Last Week's Big Bet: 1-0
Year-to-Date Record: 96-87-9
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 7-6
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $280
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses): $90
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