Picks of the Week

A bit of a rebound week, and definitely in the positive.  I might actually be figuring out this year.

As  a reminder, each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. Now, on to the picks.

Chicago Bears +7 at Detroit Lions
Short weeks have not been kind to the away teams, but Detroit looks prime for a let down.  I am not saying that they won't win, but it should be within a touchdown.

Philadelphia Eagles +3 at Dallas Cowboys
A second short week road selection cannot be good, but Philadelphia just looks a lot better than Dallas does at this point of the season.

San Francisco 49ers -1 v. Seattle Seahawks
Primarily because I could not pick all three away teams, but also because Seattle seems to be imploding internally, so they should be ripe for a defeat after a big victory against the Cardinals.  In addition, Aldon Smith is looking to make up for lost time with a big, big game.

Baltimore Ravens -6 v. San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are a far cry from the team in the early part of the season that defeated the Seahawks, and Baltimore seems to have found a running game.

Houston Texans -6 1/2 v. Tennessee Titans
Fitzpatrick is BACK!

Indianapolis Colts -9 1/2 v. Washington Whatever Name They Are Going To Be Called
Washington is in big trouble of imploding among themselves, and they have nowhere near the talent of the Colts.

New York Giants -2 1/2 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Odell Beckham, Jr.

Minnesota Vikings -3 v. Carolina Panthers
The Vikings gave Green Bay a run last week, and the Packers are much better than Carolina.

Pittsburgh Steelers -4 1/2 v. New Orleans Saints
The Steelers play to the level of their opponents, and the Saints, at 4-7, are not very good.  That being said the bye week should freshen up Pittsburgh.  New Orleans is desperate though, as they need some wins to procure a playoff spot.

Oakland Raiders +6 1/2 at St. Louis Rams
Oakland is coming off a great win, and might have enough weapons to keep this game close, as they have most of the games they have played this year.

Cincinnati Bengals -3 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I really do hate picking road favorites, but having seen Tampa Bay struggle against the Bears (despite McCown throwing for 325 yard), means that the Bucs could be in for a long day against a rolling Cincinnati squad.

Arizona Cardinals -2 1/2 at Atlanta Falcons
Despite the convincing loss to the hands of the Seahawks, Arizona is still a quality team - even with Drew Stanton, whereas the Falcons, despite being in first place, are not a very good squad.

New England Patriots +3 at Green Bay Packers
Everything that Bill Belichick has done this year has turned to gold.  If anyone can go into Green Bay to beat the white hot Packers, it is New England.

Denver Broncos -2 at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas CIty lost to the Raiders last week, and the Broncos are exactly NOT the team they want to see to try to rebound.

Miami Dolphins -7 at New York Jets
Another dreaded road favorite, but the Jets are starting Geno Smith, who is good fro 3 or 4 turnovers.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Cleveland Browns + 2 1/2 at Buffalo Bills
I am not sure how Cleveland keeps winning, but they do.  And Browns might have a corner in Joe Haden that can keep up with Sammy Watkins.  Plus, Josh Gordon is really fresh and should be able to have his way with the Bills secondary.


Last Week: 8-6-1
Year-to-Date: 95-76-3
Big Bet Last Week: 1-0
Big Bet Year to Date: 6-6
Winnings (Losses) Last Week: $290
Winnings (Losses) Year to Date: $825