An absolute shambles of a season, and I do not expect this Super Bowl to be any different. Hoping to find some really good-looking prop bets to try to salvage something for the year!
A reminder, all bets are for $100 expect for the Big Bet, which is $250. All losses incur a vig of 10%. On to the picks.
New England Patriots +5 1/2 V. Seattle Seahawks
Let's be honest here, Seattle is by far the better team. But, New England does have a really good defense of its own (4th in Scoring Defense, 8th in Total Defense). And, given that this spread moved an extra point overnight in Seattle's favor, I will take it.
Seattle Seahawks -235 Moneyline (Bet $235 to win $100) v. New England Patriots
New England might cover, but Seattle IS going to win this game. Seattle has the third-highest scoring offense in the NFL this season (New England's is second, though), but Seattle did that playing a way tougher schedule. We are well past the time to start believing in Sam Darnold, especially since he has Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
New England Patriots versus Seattle Seahawks UNDER 45 1/2
Tough - and I mean Tough defenses. Both of their averages on the season total 36 points given up.
Charlie Puth National Anthem UNDER 119 minutes
Why not?!
Interception on Playing Starting in the Red Zone -160 (Bet $160 to win $100)
Had to take this bet given the Super Bowl history between the two teams.
Kenneth Walker OVER 70 1/2 rushing yards
With Zach Charbonnet being injured, this bet HAS to come in for Seattle to win. Walker the Workhorse.
Kayshon Boutte OVER 2 1/2 receptions
Somebody will have to catch the ball, and I expect the Seahawks will take away Stefon Diggs as much as possible.
Cooper Kupp OVER 3 1/2 receptions
Similar storyline to Boutte above, but Kupp has been here before.
Rashid Shaheed OVER 4 1/2 rushing yards
Seattle will find ways to utilize this weapon, and a couple of jet sweeps might do it.
Rashid Shaheed OVER 32 1/2 receiving + rushing yards
See above.
Longest Field Goal Made OVER 50 1/2 yards.
Yards hard to come by on offense + quality of kickers + K Ball.
Total Field Goals Made OVER 3 1/2
See above!
Hunter Henry OVER 38 1/2 receiving yards
A lot of checkdowns today!
Trayveon Henderson OVER 4 Receiving yards
This could be just one reception!
BIG BET OF THE WEEK
Seattle Seahawks -235 Moneyline (Bet $235 to win $100) v. New England Patriots
New England might cover, but Seattle IS going to win this game. Seattle has the third-highest scoring offense in the NFL this season (New England's is second, though), but Seattle did that playing a way tougher schedule. We are well past the time to start believing in Sam Darnold, especially since he has Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Seattle is THE best team today, and it isn't even close. The Patriots barely beat the Broncos with Jarrett Stidham starting at QB.
Kenneth Walker OVER 70 1/2 rushing yards
With Zach Charbonnet being injured, this bet HAS to come in for Seattle to win. Walker the Workhorse.
Cooper Kupp OVER 3 1/2 receptions
Similar storyline to Boutte above, but Kupp has been here before.
Longest Field Goal Made OVER 50 1/2 yards.
Yards hard to come by on offense + quality of kickers + K Ball.
Last Week Record: 5-1
Last Week Big Bet: 1-1
Playoff Record: 18-18
Playoff Big Bet: 2-4
Year-to-Date Record: 144-158-3
Year-to-Date Big Bet: 8-16
Last Week Winnings (Losses): $375
Playoff Winnings (Losses): ($453.20)
Year-to-Date Winnings (Losses): ($4,453.20)
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