This season has been a shit-show, so last weekend should have been no surprise, even with a great start to the playoffs in the Wildcard Round. I am not going to waste a lot of my time on this, since I know how it is going to turn out anyway.
A reminder, all bets are for $100 expect for the Big Bet, which is $250. All losses incur a vig of 10%. On to the picks.
New England Patriots -3 1/2 at Denver Broncos
Even though Bo Nix may have regressed a bit this year, this team is still way better with him than any backup that hasn't taken many snaps in a long time. Best of luck to Jarrett Stidham, but I am not betting on it.
New England Patriots -210 Moneyline (Bet $210 to win $100) at Denver Broncos
If I think they are going to cover a 3 1/2 points spread on the road, I damn sure am going to pick them to win outright.
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos UNDER 43 1/2
Tough defenses and a backup quarterback.
Seattle Seahawks -2 v. Los Angeles Rams
Seattle has - by far - played the best of any team in the NFL this entire season. The Rams were at that level at one point, and are amazing offensively (1st in Passing Offense, 1st in Scoring Offense, 2nd in Total Offense and 7th in Rushing Offense), which it will need in going against the toughest defense in the NFL to score against.
Seattle Seahawks -135 Moneyline (Bet $135 to win $100) v. Los Angeles Rams
Just like in the early game, if I think they are going to cover the spread, I should pick them to win outright.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks OVER 45 1/2
This feels like it could be similar to the Week 16 38-37 barnburner.
BIG BET OF THE WEEK
New England Patriots -3 1/2 at Denver Broncos
Even though Bo Nix may have regressed a bit this year, this team is still way better with him than any backup that hasn't taken many snaps in a long time. Best of luck to Jarrett Stidham, but I am not betting on it.
The Bo Nix injury at least made it so I don't have to even think about this choice.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks OVER 45 1/2
This feels like it could be similar to the Week 16 38-37 barnburner.
I am hoping for at least one really good, fun, close game this weekend - I hope it is this one.
Last Week Record: 1-11
Last Week Big Bet: 0-2
Playoff Record: 13-17
Playoff Big Bet: 1-3
Year-to-Date Record: 139-157-3
Year-to-Date Big Bet: 7-15
Last Week Winnings (Losses): ($1440)
Playoff Winnings (Losses): ($828.20)
Year-to-Date Winnings (Losses): ($4,928.20)
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