This season just gets weirder and weirder. Forget the games, Stefon Diggs arrested on felony strangulation and misdemeanor assault. This must have been so bad that his brother was fired by the Dallas Cowboys, WOW! Anyway, I lost all momentum this past week thanks to the egg laid by the Los Angeles Rams. That win, and I would have had a second winning week in a row.
Happy New Year to everybody, and remember, one last week until the playoffs!!!
A reminder, all bets are for $100 expect for the Big Bet, which is $250. All losses incur a vig of 10%. On to the picks.
Carolina Panthers +2 1/2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Statistically the teams are not much different from each other, with the one good part of Carolina's offense (11th in rushing) will go directly against the one good part of Tampa Bay's defense (7th in rushing). The Buccaneers just don't look right the past few weeks, and Carolina is getting points. Winner (mostly) is in the playoffs, with the caveat that if Tampa wins and Atlanta beats New Orleans - Carolina still makes the playoffs. And yes, I know I am going against the home team on a short week.
San Francisco 49ers +1 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
This game has all the makings of a phenomenal matchup, with the winner taking the #1 seed and home-field advantage in the NFC (and a bye). I am taking the home team on a short week as well as a home underdog in an intra-divisional matchup, so I like San Fran here.
Green Bay Packers +6 1/2 at Minnesota Vikings
This game really means nothing to both teams, except that Malik Willis needs as many snaps as possible in case he is needed next week (unlikely) due to Jordan Love's concussion. I cannot believe Max Brosmer is giving up nearly a touchdown.
Tennessee Titans +12 1/2 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is still in the hunt for the #1 overall seed in the AFC, but this line is a lot of points given how scrappy the Titans have been (L8, W, L7, W in December).
Houston Texans -10 v. Indianapolis Colts
Houston could actually be the best team in the AFC. They have the best Total Defense and the Best Scoring Defense, and now, they are going up against Riley Leaonard at QB.
Dallas Cowboys -3 1/2 at New York Giants
I know, I know, I am giving points on the road in a divisional game, but this Cowboys team is just too potent when both CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens are playing.
Cleveland Browns +7 1/2 at Cincinnati Bengals
I think the Bengals win this game, but I also think that Cleveland and its second-ranked defense keeps this close. Does Myles Garrett tie or break the single-season sack record is the only thing that matters in this game (he needs 1/2 sack to tie).
Atlanta Falcons -3 1/2 v. New Orleans Saints
Yes Atlanta played on Monday, and I should take the Saints getting points due to Atlanta's short week, but if that same Falcons team that played Monday shows up Sunday, look out Saints.
Chicago Bears -3 v. Detroit Lions
That Bears-49ers game last weekend was awesome. Detroit has no reason to play this game, and even though they are professionals playing for Dan Campbell, it is hard to not subconsciously play less than 100%.
Miami Dolphins +10 1/2 at New England Patriots
Just taking the points here. Ewers does show promise, and Miami's running game is explosive. Could keep it close.
Los Angeles Rams -7 1/2 v. Arizona Cardinals
This Cardinals team is bad! Rams need a bounce-back performance.
Philadelphia Eagles -3 1/2 v. Washington Commanders
The Commanders have lost 10 of their last 11.
Buffalo Bills -7 v. New York Jets
The Buffalo Bills have looked rather pedestrian of late, but you know what they haven't looked like? A team that had to bail out Stefon Diggs. Plus, the Jets are awful.
Kansas City Chiefs -5 1/2 at Las Vegas Raiders
The Chiefs get an 8 catch, 117-yard, 2 touchdown performance from Travis Kelce in his last game in the NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers +12 1/2 at Denver Broncos
Yes, I know that Justin Herbert isn't playing, but 12 1/2 is a lot of points for a team that hasn't won by more than 8 points since October.
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 1/2 v. Baltimore Ravens
I sincerely think the Ravens will win this game, especially since Pittsburgh is without DK Metcalf. But, I hate giving up points on the road, and I at least feel that this game could be close given that both defenses rank in the 20s in the NFL in Total Defense.
BIG BET OF THE WEEK
Green Bay Packers +6 1/2 at Minnesota Vikings
This game really means nothing to both teams, except that Malik Willis needs as many snaps as possible in case he is needed next week (unlikely) due to Jordan Love's concussion. I cannot believe Max Brosmer is giving up nearly a touchdown.
Malik Willis is playing for a contract/starting position somewhere - and some team SHOULD pick him up.
Last Week Record: 6-8-1
Last Week Big Bet: 1-0
Year-to-Date Record: 122-130-3
Year-to-Date Big Bet: 6-11
Last Week Winnings (Losses): ($130)
Year-to-Date Winnings (Losses): ($3,015)
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