Sunday, November 7, 2021

Picks of the Week


And of course, I cannot have three winning weeks in a row, so it ends up being a horrible week.  Oh well, it is time to start an epic comeback.

For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread.  I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100.  Winners count as winners, whereasv, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Indianapolis Colts -10 v. New York Jets
Hooray - a Thursday win!

Miami Dolphins -5 1/2 v. Houston Texans
Please, please, don't anybody watch this game.  The 29th (Miami) ranked offense versus the 31st (Houston) ranked offense.  The 29th (Houston) ranked defense versus the 31st (Miami) ranked defense.  Ugh!

Dallas Cowboys -10 v. Denver Broncos
For whatever reason, big favorites are covering a lot this year.  And, Denver's morale has to be reeling from the Von Miller trade.
 
Cleveland Browns +2 1/2 at Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland's defense (3rd overall), prevails in a hard-nosed close game in which Cleveland's number 1 rushing offense closes the game out in the fourth.

Baltimore Ravens -6 v. Minnesota Vikings
Baltimore bounces back from the Bengals trouncing, or, at least I hope.

New York Giants +3 v. Las Vegas Raiders
Not taking the west coast team travelling east and playing the 1:00 game.

Atlanta Falcons +6 1/2 at New Orleans Saints
Another game with dreadful offenses (Atlants 24th; New Orleans 30th).  Just going to take the points in this situation.

Jacksonville Jaguars +14 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo wins this, and pretty easily.  I just think they coast in the second half.

New England Patriots -3 1/2 at Carolina Panthers
I hate taking road favorites, but they do win sometimes, and home-field advantage is not what it used to be.  Plus, if New England plays like they did last week, P.J. Walker doesn't have a chance, unless .... McCaffrey is actually healthy.

Los Angeles Chargers -1 at Philadelphia Eagles
This is basically a pick 'em, and in those situations I pick the better team, especially in the 4 pm slot.  The Chargers 32nd ranked rush defense scares me, but their 7th ranked passing offense should more than compensate.

San Francisco 49ers -3 1/2 v. Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray's status makes this pick tough, but I am guessing that Murray does not play.  Colt McCoy is still in the league?

Kansas City Chiefs -7 v. Green Bay Packers
Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha!  How many games does the NFL suspend Aaron Rodgers for?  My guess is none, but it should be at least 3.  Seriously, can somebody tell me the difference between Cam Newton and Aaron Rodgers?

Los Angeles Rams -7 v. Tennessee Titans
No Derrick Henry does mean more passing opportunities for A.J. Brown, who is great.  Except, A.J., meet Jalen Ramsey.

Pittsburgh Steelers -6 1/2 v. Chicago Bears
I am just hoping that Justin Fields keeps progressing.

Big Bet

Kansas City Chiefs -7 v. Green Bay Packers
Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha! Ha!  How many games does the NFL suspend Aaron Rodgers for?  My guess is none, but it should be at least 3.
Honestly, I couldn't figure out who should be my big bet.  And since Aaron Rodgers has already screwed both my fantasy teams (although Derek Carr is a more than adequate backup in one), he might as well have his team screw me over in my picks, too.

Bye Week:  Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Washington Football Team

Last Week's Record:  6-9
Last Week's Big Bet:  0-1
Year-to-Date Record:  65-57
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  2-6
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): ($555)
Year to Date Winnings (Losses):  ($460)

1 comment:

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