We are back to the beginning of a new football season!!! Hooray!!! And, if yesterday's college games are any indication, we don't know anything. That is often true about the first few weeks of any season, as we really don't know how new players - rookies or otherwise - will fare on their new teams, how new coaches and coaching staffs will gel with their players, or how critical players losses will affect an established team. The good thing is, neither do the actuaries that set the betting lines. Key point - the first 3 weeks or so are the best time to take advantage. Let's hope we can do that!!!
For those that are new to this site, I will select every game against the spread. I will be selecting one big bet at $250 per, whereas everything else will be $100. Winners count as winners, whereasv, losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler. On to the picks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8 1/2 v. Dallas Cowboys
So, my undefeated season will bnot come to fruition. I guess the rumors of Dak's shoulder still causing him problems was overrated. Still, I had Tampa Bay in my survivor pool, so I'll take it.
Atlanta Falcons -3 1/2 v. Philadelphia Eagles
Both teams project to be dismal this year. I initially thought about taking the points, but I will settle for the home team and hope they actually use their running back, Mike Davis.
Carolina Panthers -3 1/2 v. New York Jets
Rookie quarterback starting game 1 versus the man he replaced. Panthers have more weapons.
Washington Football Team -2 v. Los Angeles Chargers
In Fitzy I trust. But seriously, the reason is the old adage, never bet on the west coast team travelling east and playing the early game. Historically the home east coast team in this situation covers 2/3 of the time. Also, Washington has the best defensive line in the league.
Detroit Lions +8 1/2 v. San Francisco 49ers
I hate this pick. I hate it, I hate it, I hate. But, as I stated in the preamble, we don't know anything yet about this season, so I will stick the the betting rule that led me to select Washington earlier.
Buffalo Bills -6 1/2 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh has 5 new offensive lineman. Bills rookie Gregory Rousseau could have 2 or 3 sacks this game. Plus, Pittsburgh couldn't get pressure on Buffalo last year, and they are essentially the same team.
Seattle Seahawks -3 at Indianapolis Colts
Seattle is the one west coast team that thrives covering the spread when playing the early game on the east coast (and yes, Indianapolis is in the eastern time zone). I don't like giving up the points here, but the Colts don't really know how to play with Carson Wentz yet, either.
Minnesota Vikings -2 1/2 at Cincinnati Bengals
Imagine what Joe Burrow could have done if Cincinnati had drafted him Penei Sewell to protect him.
Jacksonville Jaguars -3 at Houston Texans
Tyrod Taylor often surprises, but this Texans team is hideous.
Tennessee Titans -3 v. Arizona Cardinals
J.J. Watt is not the type of defensive upgrade that would lead a team to stopping Derrick Henry.
Miami Dolphins +3 1/2 at New England Patriots
Nobody knows what is going to happen here with these 2 Alabama quarterbacks, so I will take the points.
Denver Broncos -3 at New York Giants
I just love rooting for Teddy Two Gloves.
Green Bay Packers -3 1/2 at New Orleans
Has any player ever gone on a revenge tour against their own team? If not, well now here it is. Aaron Rodgers' Revenge Tour against the Green Bay Packers. Starts today.
Cleveland Browns +5 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City's revamped offensive line versus Cleveland's rushers. I'll take the points, even though I think Kansas City wins.
Los Angeles Rams -8 v. Chicago Bears
With Justin Fields in the game, I might take 8. Not with Andy Dalton. Let's see if Matt Stafford likes all of his shiny new toys on offense.
Las Vegas Raiders +4 v. Baltomore Ravens
Getting points at home in a big prime time game? Yes, please. Especially since we don't exactly know how the Ravens running back situation is going to play out, especially since Latavious Murray likely isn't in game shape yet.
Big Bet
Buffalo Bills -6 1/2 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh has 5 new offensive lineman. Bills rookie Gregory Rousseau could have 2 or 3 sacks this game. Plus, Pittsburgh couldn't get pressure on Buffalo last year, and they are essentially the same team.
Josh Allen's campaign to finish third in the MVP voting begins today.
Last Week's Record: 0-0
Last Week's Big Bet: 0-0Year-to-Date Record: 0-0
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 0-0
Last Week's Winnings (Losses):
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses):
Last Week's Winnings (Losses):
Year-to-Date's Winnings (Losses):
No comments:
Post a Comment