Picks of the Week

Another .500 week (7-7 with 2 pushes), so I am not making a good cut into my deficit.  I need a big, big week.

My long time readers know how this works, but for everybody else,  a reminder.  Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will "pretend" that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.  On to the picks.

Baltimore Rave s -13 1/2 v. Indianapolis Colts
Although I am not sold on Baltimore, they are 4-1 since their week 10 bye and Indianapolis stinks.

Minnesota Vikings -8 1/2 at Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers in IR means more Brett Hundley.

Cleveland Browns + 6 1/2 at Chicago Bears
John Fox is 0-7 with Chicago when playing as a favorite.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 1/2 at Carolina Panthers
Carolina wins.  I just cannot pull the trigger on a double digit spread after how tough Tampa played Atlanta last week.

Detroit Lions -3 at Cincinnati Bengals
The Andy Dalton watch is on.

Miami Dolphins +10 1/2 at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are 11 points better than Miami, but for some reas9n this spread seems weird.  Miami's defenae could keep this closer than it should be.

Buffalo Bills +11 1/2 at New England Patriots
This intra-divisional game should not be a blowout.  If the season ended today, Buffalo would be in the playoffs.

Atlanta Falcons +6 at New Orleans Saints
Atlanta has won 4 straight against New Orleans, and will take over first in the NFC South with a win.  They at least keep it close

New York Jets +6 1/2 v. Los Angeles Chargers
Always bet against the west coast team travelling east and olaying the 1:00 start.  66% chance of winning that bet no matter which twams are playing.

Tennessee Titans +6 1/2 v. Los Angeles Rams
Tennessee is 5-1 at home, but then again, the Rams are 6-1 on the road.  Should be a close game.

Washington Racists -3 v. Denver Broncos
This is Kirk Cousins audition for a job for next year, weather in Washington or Denver.

San Francisco 49ers +4 v. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jimmy Garrapolo.

New York Giants +3 at Arizona Cardinals
The Giants have been playing tough of late.

Dallas Cowboys -4 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
Todd Gurley gassed the Seahawks defense, and is he Keel Elliott will do the same.

Pittsburgh Steelers -9 at Houston
Although I don't like the number, Pittsburgh is substantially better than Houston and are likely Out For Blood after the Jesse James non touchdown last week.

Philadelphia Eagles -9 1/2 v. Oaklamd Raiders
Philadelphia has won its last three home games by over 26 points.

Big Bet
Atlanta Falcons +6 at New Orleans

Getting points in an in traditional rivalry in which the game is important for both teams.

Last Week's Record: 7-7-2
Last Week's Big Bet: 1-0
Year-to-Date Record:  109-107-8
Big Bet Year-to-Date:  9-6
Last Week's Winnings (Losses):  $80
Winnings (Losses) Year-to-Date:  ($630)