NFL Picks

It is time for the "picks of the week". A quick refresher: Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks.

New York Jets +2 at Buffalo Bills
I really don't know what to think of this game, and in that situation, I always take the points. Plus, the Jets should be a bit healthier after the bye week.

Dallas Cowboys -11 v. Seattle Seahawks
Just to keep betting against Seattle.

Cleveland Browns +10 1/2 at Houston Texans
This has nothing to do with Peyton Hillis, but more to do with the fact that the spread is double digits. I really don't think Cleveland can win, but could lose by 10.

Atlanta Falcons -7 at Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is not good. Falcons should run the ball on them all game.

Kansas City Chiefs -4 v. Miami Dolpins
If this Chiefs defense plays anything like Monday night, Miami does not have a chance. They are playing hard, the Dolphins just aren't good.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 1/2 at New Orleans Saints
LaGarrette Blount is back, and the Saints will make just one too many turnovers to cover this spread.

Cincinnati Bengals +2 1/2 at Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati is play surprisingly well, and since every other defense has bottled up Chris Johnson this year, the Bengals should be able to do so as well.

Oakland Raiders -8 v. Denver Broncos
Darren McFadden is much, much better than anything the Broncos have. Plus, Janikowski is back.

St. Louis Rams + 1 1/2 at Arizona Cardinals
John Skelton.

Green Bay Packers -5 1/2 at San Diego Chargers
Green Bay is simply the best team in football, and we need to set up the Packers being undefeated going into the Thanksgiving game at Detroit.

New York Giants +9 at New England Patriots
It appears that teams have figured out that playing Welker man-to-man is the way to slow down the Patriots offense. After watching the Giants against the Dolphins, that may not be enough for them to win, but it may be enough for them to cover.

Baltimore Ravens +3 at Pittsburgh Steelers
With the exception of the first game of the season, this game is always close. Ravens have not been playing as consistent since, and the Steelers are playing better since, so this game should be close this time around.

Chicago Bears +8 at Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles give up around 5 yards a carry, and Forte gains about 5 yards a carry. The Eagles looked great last week, but the Bears are rested after a bye. I'll take the 8 points gladly. If the Bears weren't my favorite team, I might have made this my Big Bet.

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

San Francisco 49ers -3 1/2 at Washington Redskins
Jim Harbaugh has the 49ers playing tough, and good, football. The Washington Redskins, well, not so tough or good.

Previous Week's Record: 6-7
Year to Date: 52-48-3
Big Bet Last Week: 1-0
Big Beat Year to Date: 7-0
Winnings (Losses) Last Week: ($20)
Winnings (Losses) Year-To-Date: $970