Finally a solid week picking games with a good record, if only decent winnings because of that damn big bet. Let's see if I finally have learned something about this year and can keep this little winning streak going.
My long time readers know how this works, but for everybody else, a reminder. Each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will "pretend" that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig to make the math that much simpler.
New Orleans Saints +3 at Carolina Panthers
Cincinnati Bengals -2 1/2 v. Buffalo Bills
I just have this weird feeling about this one, as I initially thought Buffalo was an easy pick. I can't explain it, just going with Cincinnati.
Chicago Bears +6 1/2 at New York Giants
Once again, a reverse pick just to assure that DeShaun Watson can be Cutler's successor.
Pittsburgh Steelers -8 at Cleveland Browns
A road favorite, giving 8 points in a conference game. Cleveland just stinks. They have been playing hard, but poorly for weeks now.
Baltimore Ravens +7 at Dallas Cowboys
Yes the Cowboys are everybody's darlings right now in the league, but they have only beaten two teams with winning records. I still think they win this game, but it will be close. The league's number one ranked rushing and total yards defense versus the offensive line and Ezekial Elliott. Should be a fun game in the trenches.
Detroit Lions -6 v. Jacksonville Jaguars
Is it possible that every play in this game is a pass?
Tennessee Titans +2 1/2 at Indianapolis
Marcus Mariota is the the quarterback with the highest QB Rating in this game (albeit it is close). Murray likely goes over 1,000 yards on the season. Titans roll into first place in their division.
Kansas City Chiefs -7 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Do not be fooled by Tampa's brilliant performance last week, it was against the Bears. That being said, Cameron Brate is an emerging star at the Tight End position (Go Harvard!)
Do not be fooled by Tampa's brilliant performance last week, it was against the Bears. That being said, Cameron Brate is an emerging star at the Tight End position (Go Harvard!)
Arizona Cardinals +1 at Minnesota Vikings
Both teams on major slides right now. The Vikings defense has been a bit exposed lately.
Miami Dolphins pick 'em at Los Angeles Rams
A lot is going to be made of Jared Goff's first start, but more should be made of the Dolphins 4 game winning streak, the fact that Jay Ajayi has outrushed Todd Gurley by over 200 yards, and the fact that although the Rams defense is generally stout, they are only 18th against the run.
New England Patriots -11 at San Francisco 49ers
I almost don't care how many points I have to give up in this game.
A lot is going to be made of Jared Goff's first start, but more should be made of the Dolphins 4 game winning streak, the fact that Jay Ajayi has outrushed Todd Gurley by over 200 yards, and the fact that although the Rams defense is generally stout, they are only 18th against the run.
New England Patriots -11 at San Francisco 49ers
I almost don't care how many points I have to give up in this game.
Seattle Seahawks -6 1/2 v. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 1-4 on the raod this year, whereas the Seahawks are 4-0 at home. Look for the Seattle defense to feast upon a rookie quarterback.
Philadelphia is 1-4 on the raod this year, whereas the Seahawks are 4-0 at home. Look for the Seattle defense to feast upon a rookie quarterback.
Washington Racists -3 v. Green Bay Packers
Washington is 5-1-1 in their last seven games, led by their third ranked passing offense (and fourth overall). The Packers are pedestrian on offense and defense this year.
Oakland Raiders -5 1/2 v. Houston Texans in Mexico City
Washington is 5-1-1 in their last seven games, led by their third ranked passing offense (and fourth overall). The Packers are pedestrian on offense and defense this year.
Oakland Raiders -5 1/2 v. Houston Texans in Mexico City
Altitude is going to play a factor as Estadio Azteca is at an elevation of over 7,000 feet, or roughly 7,000 feet higher than both Oakland and Houston. Whichever teams adapts the best will win this game. My money is on the team with more talent.
Big Bet Game of the Week
Big Bet Game of the Week
Tennessee Titans +2 1/2 at Indianapolis
Marcus Mariota is the the quarterback with the highest QB Rating in this game (albeit it is close). Murray likely goes over 1,000 yards on the season. Titans roll into first place in their division.
I honestly couldn't easily decide which game I wanted to be my big bet. I ultimately decided on Tennessee over Washington, Seattle and Kansas City and Detroit because Tennessee was getting points.
I honestly couldn't easily decide which game I wanted to be my big bet. I ultimately decided on Tennessee over Washington, Seattle and Kansas City and Detroit because Tennessee was getting points.
Last Week's Record: 9-5
Last Week's Big Bet: 0-1
Year-to-Date Record: 70-76-3
Big Bet Year-to-Date: 1-9
Last Week's Winnings (Losses): $185
Winnings (Losses) Year-to-Date: ($2915)
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