Friday, September 18, 2009

Picks of the Week



Week 2 of the NFL season is upon us. Here is this week's "Picks of the Week". As a refresher each pick is using the spread (straight up is for wussies), and the betting line is from the same website each week as of the time of typing the entry. I will keep a running tally of my record, plus my winnings/losses. We will pretend that I bet $100 on each game, with one game each week going for $250. Winnings/Losses will be calculated including a 10% vig, which just makes the math that much simpler. On to the picks.

Houston Texans +6 1/2 at Tennessee Titans
I believe that Houston's (lack of) offense last week was due more to a strong defense on the part of the Jets. Tennessee is without Haynesworth, although Finnegan can play Johnson tough. The Titans don't look to be blowing too many people out this year. I'll take the points.

New York Jets +3 1/2 v. New England Patriots
The Jets defense looks to be tough this year under Rex Ryan, and New England's defense is not going to be the same without Seymour and Mayo.

Cincinnati Bengals +9 at Green Bay Packers
This was a difficult decision for me, but Green Bay had 9,000 turnovers against the Bears and still only won by 6. A revived Cedric Benson may keep the ball long enough to make this closer than expected.

Minnesota Vikings -10 at Detroit Lions
Rookie Quarterback, meet Kevin Williams, and Pat Williams and Jared Allen. Smart money says always take double digit points in a division game. Smart money also didn't have to go against Adrian Peterson.

New Orleans +1 at Philadelphia Eagles
Drew Brees versus Kevin Kolb. One of these things is not like the other.

Atlanta Falcons -6 1/2 v. Carolina Panthers
Atlanta's offense is strong, and the Panthers could be in serious trouble this year.

St. Louis Rams +10 at Washington Redskins
Simply because I do not want to give up double digit points in more than one game.

Arizona Cardinals +3 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars reeling from their owners Tim Tebow comments this week. Arizona bounces back from last week's loss at the hands of the surprising 49ers.

San Francisco 49ers -1 1/2 v. Seattle Seahawks
Mike Singeltary will continue to have this team ready to play. If Seattle tries to run the ball with its unholy (and un-young) triumverate, Patrick Willis may have 20 soo tackles.

Buffalo Bills -5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Even without getting its wide receivers into the action, the Bills played New England tough. The Bills should use this momentum to beat a very beatable Bucs squad.

Cleveland Browns +3 at Denver Broncos
The Browns were surprisingly spry against the Vikings, at least for a half. Plus, if Denver is giving points this year, I am going to take them.

Baltimore +3 at San Diego Chargers
Baltimore actually has an offense this year. San Diego had problms with Oakland's offense. LDT is already injured this year. Baltimore' defense has the speed to contain Sproles.

Chicago Bears +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers
Despite an absolutely horrific performance by Cutler, the Bears only lost by 6 at the Packers. Plus, the Steelers cannot run the ball. I look for the Bears to bounce back.

New York Giants +3 at Dallas Cowboys
Despite the presence of DeMarcus Ware, the Cowboys defense isn't that strong. The Giants' offensive line and running game is.

Indianapolis +3 at Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins fall back to earth after last year's playoff run.

Just for the record, I lost the Denver-Cincinnati game on Stokely's fluke touchdown reception to end the game. Even High School coaches tell their defensive players to "KNOCK IT DOWN"!

BIG BET OF THE WEEK

Oakland Raiders +3 at Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland played fairly well against San Diego, and the Chiefs, well, not so much. I look for Oakland to b fairly copetitive throughout the year.

Previous Week's Record: 9-7 (1-0 Big Bet)
Year to Date: 9-7 (1-0)
Winnings (Losses): 280

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